Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox
Date: Wednesday, September 10, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (-144), Chicago (+120)
The Chicago White Sox (55-89) are set to battle against the Tampa Bay Rays (71-72) at Rate Field on Wednesday. The betting lines favor Tampa Bay at -144 while Chicago holds a +120. This matchup features a total over/under of 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers for the game are Ryan Pepiot for Tampa Bay and Sean Burke for Chicago.
The Tampa Bay Rays demonstrate a slugging percentage of .403 and have recorded 1,217 strikeouts alongside 408 walks this season. They boast 612 RBIs and 1,217 hits, achieving a batting average of .252. The team has hit 217 doubles and launched 160 home runs, tallying 644 runs scored with a .314 on-base percentage (OBP). Collectively, the Rays average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 14th in the league.
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Tampa Bay commands a team ERA of 3.85, placing them 9th in the league. Their pitchers have notched 1,247 strikeouts while allowing 185 home runs and a total of 589 runs, ranking 6th. The staff has issued 411 walks, with a team FIP of 4.19 this year. The Rays have allowed 1,119 hits (averaging 7.9 per 9 innings) alongside 542 earned runs, achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.21.
This season, the Rays have utilized 453 relievers, with the bullpen inheriting 145 base runners, of which 31.7% scored. They have managed 32 saves, failing to convert 24 out of 56 save opportunities. The relief team holds a 57.1% save rate and has entered 137 save situations, collecting 79 holds (16th in MLB). The bullpen has faced runners on base 97 times, participating in 135 high-leverage scenarios.
The Rays convert 70.9% of balls in play into outs over 11,406 innings, ranking 4th in the majors. They boast 3,802 putouts, 1,257 assists, and 67 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987—11th best in professional baseball—along with 130 double plays.
Pepiot has pitched 371 innings, accumulating 383 strikeouts throughout his professional career. His earned run average is 3.42 (allowing 141 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.129. He has permitted 282 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and issued 137 walks. With a career record of 24-19, Pepiot’s FIP stands at 3.37 after facing 1,512 batters.
The Chicago White Sox have recorded an OBP of .305 and a batting average of .236 this season. They have struck out 1,194 times (16th in MLB) and logged 1,131 hits. With 148 home runs and 562 RBIs, the White Sox have a slugging percentage of .378, averaging 4.04 runs per game—ranking 26th in the league. The team has hit 222 doubles, walked 453 times, and scored a total of 582 runs.
On the mound, the White Sox pitching staff has allowed 662 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 4.24 (593 earned runs). They have given up 160 home runs, with a 4.73 runs per 9 innings average (22nd in the league). Their WHIP is 1.367, coupled with a team FIP of 4.46. The strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.00 (1,118 strikeouts against 534 walks), ranking 16th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,189).
In 103 save opportunities, the White Sox have accumulated 60 holds against 21 blown saves. They have deployed relief pitchers in 43 save chances, converting 22 into saves. Their bullpen has entered high-leverage situations 134 times, and encountered base runners on 142 occasions. The inherited scoring percentage stands at 32.2% for 208 inherited runners, placing them 30th in MLB with a save percentage of 51.2%. They have sent 464 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.
Through 11,343 innings, the White Sox have a defensive efficiency of 69.6%, ranking 18th in professional baseball. They have executed 114 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the majors). This season, they have recorded 1,146 assists, 95 errors, and 3,781 putouts.
So far, in his career, Burke has permitted 128 hits, tallying 132 strikeouts across 136 innings. He has conceded 59 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.388 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.16, having faced 598 batters throughout his MLB tenure. With a 6-10 career record, Burke maintains an ERA of 3.90, allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who’s set to emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Take Chicago (+120)
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