Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Scheduled Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays (-128) vs. Chicago White Sox (+106)
On Thursday, the Chicago White Sox (55-90) will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (72-72) at Rate Field. The current moneyline shows the Rays favored at -128, while the White Sox are listed at +106. The game’s total is set at 8. Expected starting pitchers include Ian Seymour and Shane Smith.
The Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. Over the season, they have scored 649 runs with an on-base percentage of .313. The team has recorded 218 doubles and launched 163 home runs, totaling 617 RBIs and 1,224 hits, yielding a batting average of .252. Their slugging percentage is .403, with 1,228 strikeouts compared to 409 walks.
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The Rays possess a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and a collective WHIP of 1.20 from their pitching staff, which has allowed 186 home runs and 593 runs (7th in the league). They have surrendered 1,126 hits (averaging 7.9 hits every 9 innings) and 546 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.85 (9th in the league). The staff has tallied 1,260 strikeouts and issued 411 walks, with a team FIP of 4.17.
This season, the Rays have utilized 458 relief pitchers, inheriting 147 runners, of which 32% have scored. They recorded 33 saves and 25 blown saves from 58 chances, leading to a save percentage of 56.9%. The bullpen has achieved 81 holds (16th in MLB) while appearing in high-pressure situations 139 times and handling runners on base 99 times.
The Tampa Bay Rays have made 3,829 putouts this season, with 1,260 assists and 69 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .987—ranking them 12th in MLB. They have completed 130 double plays and converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs over 11,487 innings, positioning them 5th in professional baseball.
Seymour’s career spans 37 innings, striking out 47 batters. He holds a 3-1 record, with a FIP of 2.87 and has faced 156 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA stands at 2.91 (12 earned runs), and he has a WHIP of 1.105. Thus far, Seymour has conceded 29 hits (7 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 12 walks.
On the flip side, the Chicago White Sox have an on-base percentage of .304 and a .235 batting average this season. They’ve faced 1,207 strikeouts (15th in the league) and amassed 1,138 hits, along with 149 home runs and 566 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .378, scoring 4.04 runs per game (26th in the league) with 223 doubles and 453 walks, tallying 586 runs.
Chicago’s pitching staff operates with a WHIP of 1.364 and a FIP of 4.46, allowing 1,196 hits (16th in baseball) and a total of 667 runs with an ERA of 4.24 (598 earned runs). They maintain a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (1,129 strikeouts against 535 walks) and have given up 163 home runs, yielding 4.73 runs every 9 innings (22nd in the league).
This season, the White Sox relievers have entered 43 save opportunities resulting in 22 saves, ranking last in MLB with a 51.2% save rate. A total of 468 relief pitchers have been used, who have engaged in 134 high leverage situations and faced runners on base 143 times. The inherited runners have scored 32.1% of the time out of the 209 they inherited. The team has seen 60 holds and 21 blown saves out of 103 saveable chances.
Defensively, the Chicago White Sox have recorded 114 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). They have achieved 1,151 assists, 95 errors, and 3,808 putouts. Throughout 11,424 innings, they have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in professional baseball).
Smith, holding a career record of 5-7, has a 3.96 ERA, allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings and has a K/BB ratio of 2.27, having faced 530 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up 55 earned runs, along with a WHIP of 1.199 and a FIP of 3.9. Smith’s career includes 98 hits allowed, with 118 strikeouts over 125 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose Chicago (+106)
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