Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+172) New York (-210)
The Tampa Bay Rays (53-53) visit Yankee Stadium on Tuesday to face the New York Yankees (57-48). The current odds favor the Yankees at -210, while the Rays stand at +172, with a total set at 8.5. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Joe Boyle and Max Fried.
The Rays have a slugging percentage of .403 and have been struck out 871 times, earning 322 walks. They have 457 RBIs and 906 total hits, with a batting average of .256. The squad has recorded 160 doubles and hit 114 home runs this season, generating 487 runs and holding an on-base percentage of .321. On average, the Tampa Bay Rays score 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the MLB.
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The strikeout-to-walk ratio is currently 2.92, with the pitching staff boasting a WHIP of 1.22. Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 137 home runs and given up a total of 432 runs (ranking 10th in the league). They’ve surrendered 836 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 403 earned runs. The Rays have a team ERA of 3.89 (15th in MLB) and have struck out 870 batters. This season, their pitching staff has issued 298 walks, and their FIP is 4.23.
Rays relievers have entered 74 games with runners on base and made 97 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has accumulated 57 holds this season (16th in baseball), with a save percentage of 57.5% from 98 save opportunities. They have earned 23 saves, missing 17 out of 40 chances. The bullpen has inherited 110 base runners this year, with 37.3% crossing home plate. A total of 325 relievers have been dispatched to the mound this season.
The Rays have converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs across 8,394 innings, placing them 6th in the MLB. Tampa Bay has recorded 2,798 putouts, 944 assists, and 48 errors, with a .987 fielding percentage (11th in MLB), along with 101 double plays.
Joe Boyle, with a career record of 6-6, has a FIP of 4.31 and has faced 356 batters in the majors. He has allowed 56 hits (6.1 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 51 walks. His ERA stands at 4.38 (40 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.302. Boyle has pitched 82 innings and boasts 89 strikeouts in his career.
The Yankees are hitting at a slugging percentage of .455, averaging 5.18 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They’ve accumulated 179 doubles and drawn 395 walks, totaling 539 runs scored. New York has hit 168 home runs this season along with 517 RBIs. They’ve struck out 909 times (8th in the league) and recorded 899 hits, holding a .333 OBP and a .254 batting average this year.
New York’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.00. They are 2nd in MLB for the fewest hits allowed, surrendering 792 total hits. The team has allowed 445 runs with a collective ERA of 4.01 (409 earned runs conceded). The strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90, with 913 strikeouts compared to 357 walks. They’ve let up 115 home runs, yielding 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).
The bullpen has faced 39 save opportunities, converting 27 saves, and ranks 5th in the league with a save percentage of 69.2%. They have used 342 pitchers in relief this season and involved bullpen pitchers in 97 high-pressure situations and 113 times with runners on base. New York’s relievers have inherited 172 base runners, with 26.2% of them scoring. The Yankees have compiled 56 holds, with 12 blown saves out of 96 save situations.
Across 8,268 innings, the Yankees have achieved a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in the majors), turning 65 double plays and maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in baseball). They have logged 883 assists, 55 errors, and 2,756 putouts this season.
Max Fried boasts an impressive career record of 84-40 with a 3.02 ERA, allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.55, having faced 4,129 batters in his career. Fried has yielded 339 earned runs, keeping a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 3.0. Throughout his career, he has permitted 885 hits and recorded 979 strikeouts in 1,011 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (+172)
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