Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Line: Tampa Bay (+125) vs. New York (-150)
The iconic Yankee Stadium will host a thrilling encounter between the New York Yankees (57-49) and the Tampa Bay Rays (54-53) this Wednesday. The moneyline opens with Tampa Bay at +125 and New York at -150, with a total run over/under set at 8. Anticipated starting pitchers for this matchup are Zack Littell and Will Warren.
This season, the Tampa Bay Rays boast a slugging percentage of .402 and have struck out 890 times while drawing walks 328 times. They’ve generated 462 RBIs and accumulated 920 hits, currently sporting a batting average of .255. The Rays have hit 161 doubles and launched 116 home runs, scoring a total of 492 runs with an on-base percentage of .321. As a team, they average 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in Major League Baseball.
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The Rays’ pitching staff averages a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and holds a WHIP of 1.21. They’ve surrendered 137 home runs along with 436 runs total (10th in the league), allowing 847 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 407 earned runs. The team’s ERA stands at 3.86 (14th in baseball), with a remarkable 888 strikeouts. Additionally, they have issued 302 walks, and their FIP is recorded at 4.18 for the season.
The bullpen has seen 75 occurrences of pitchers coming in with players on base, matching their 100 high-leverage appearances. They have achieved 59 holds this season (ranking 18th in baseball) with a 58.5% save rate, having entered 101 save situations. Out of 41 potential saves, they’ve secured 24, allowing 36.9% of inherited runners to score. Overall, the Rays have utilized 331 relievers throughout the year.
Defensively, the Tampa Bay Rays have recorded 2,849 putouts, 960 assists, and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is .988, ranking them 10th in the majors, with 101 double plays turned. They convert 71.2% of balls in play into outs across 8,547 innings, placing them 6th in MLB.
Zack Littell has pitched 544 innings, accumulating 451 strikeouts over his professional career, with an ERA of 3.87 (234 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.230. He has given up 549 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 120 walks. With a career record of 32-29, his FIP stands at 3.81 after facing 2,271 batters in Major League Baseball.
The New York Yankees have hit 168 home runs and amassed 523 RBIs, while achieving 180 doubles and drawing 400 walks across the season, totaling 545 runs. Their team on-base percentage is .332, and they have a batting average of .253. The Yankees’ team slugging percentage is .451, and they average 5.14 runs per game (3rd in the league). They’ve struck out 928 times (7th in baseball) and accumulated 911 hits.
On the mound, the Yankees have allowed 452 runs this year, presenting a team ERA of 4.00. They have given up 119 home runs, resulting in an average of 4.35 runs per nine innings (16th in baseball). Their WHIP is 1.251, with an FIP of 4.02. The pitching staff features a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (934 strikeouts and 363 walks) and ranks 3rd in total hits allowed with 808.
New York’s bullpen has a 26.0% inherited score rate from 177 runners. The relievers have entered 102 times in high-pressure situations, with 116 total appearances with base runners aboard. Out of 100 save chances, the Yankees have accrued 59 holds and suffered 12 blown saves, standing 4th in the league with a 70.0% save success rate, having called on 351 pitchers from the bullpen this season. They’ve converted 28 out of 40 save opportunities.
Over 8,430 innings, the Yankees’ defensive efficiency is 71.1% (7th in the majors), with 66 double plays and a .985 fielding percentage (21st in MLB). They’ve tallied 894 assists, 55 errors, and 2,810 putouts this season.
Will Warren has given up 134 hits and recorded 153 strikeouts over his 126 innings pitched. He has an ERA of 5.84, yielding 82 earned runs, and maintains a WHIP of 1.535 with a FIP of 5.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.55, facing 574 opponents in his career.
Which team will secure the victory against the spread or moneyline tonight?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (+125)
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