- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+110) Toronto (-132)
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In an exciting matchup, the Toronto Blue Jays (90-68) will welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (77-81) to the Rogers Centre this Friday. The moneyline currently shows the Rays at +110, while the Blue Jays stand at -132. The over/under for this game is set at 8.5. Starting pitchers include Adrian Houser and Shane Bieber.
The Tampa Bay Rays are currently averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 15th in the league. So far, they have scored a total of 702 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .313. This season, the Rays have achieved 239 doubles and hit 179 home runs, accumulating 668 RBIs and 1,337 hits, with a batting average of .251. Their slugging percentage stands at .402, with 1,354 strikeouts and 453 walks.
The Rays’ pitching staff boasts a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.85, placing them 10th in the league. They have struck out 1,376 batters while surrendering 196 home runs and a total of 655 runs, also ranking 10th overall. With 460 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.12. Allowing 1,235 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings), they have recorded 599 earned runs. The strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.99, resulting in a combined WHIP of 1.21.
The Rays’ bullpen has faced opponents with runners on base 109 times and has been involved in high-leverage situations 154 times. With a total of 87 holds this season (ranking 16th), their save rate is 55.6% as they’ve entered 153 save scenarios. This season, they have 35 saves, with 28 blown opportunities out of 63 attempts. The bullpen has inherited 161 runners, of which 31.1% scored. A total of 509 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Rays this season.
This season, the Tampa Bay Rays have achieved 4,198 putouts, 1,389 assists, and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is .986, placing them 15th in Major League Baseball (MLB), with 145 double plays recorded. The Rays have converted 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs over 12,594 innings, ranking them 7th in the league.
Adrian Houser, with a career record of 40-43, holds a FIP of 3.99 and has faced 3,111 batters in the majors. He’s allowed 709 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and issued 280 walks. His career ERA stands at 4.05 (totaling 327 earned runs), supported by a WHIP of 1.360. Houser has pitched for 727 innings, accumulating 571 strikeouts.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .424, scoring 4.87 runs per game, positioning them 7th in the league. They’ve recorded 286 doubles, combined for 770 runs, while taking walks 506 times and hitting 183 home runs this year, along with 743 RBIs. The Blue Jays have struck out 1,067 times (29th in the league) and achieved 1,425 hits, along with a .333 OBP and a .265 batting average this season.
This season, the Blue Jays’ pitching staff has allowed 713 runs, with an ERA of 4.24 (660 earned runs). They’ve permitted 206 home runs and surrendered 4.58 runs per 9 innings, ranking 19th in MLB. Their team WHIP stands at 1.276, with a FIP of 4.30. The strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (1,388 strikeouts against 502 walks), ranking them 14th in total hits allowed (1,287) in the league.
With 163 save scenarios, the Blue Jays have achieved 92 holds and have suffered 23 blown saves. Toronto’s relief pitchers have been utilized in 64 save chances, successfully converting 41. They have appeared 154 times in crucial situations and 174 times with runners on base. The inherited scoring percentage for the bullpen is 28.2% of 248 inherited runners. They currently rank 12th in MLB with a 64.1% save rate and have deployed 551 bullpen pitchers this season.
With 113 double plays executed, the Toronto Blue Jays have a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in baseball). They notched up 1,240 assists, 85 errors, and 4,206 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency is 69.9% over 12,618 innings, ranking them 15th among MLB teams.
Shane Bieber has allowed 781 hits in his MLB career, recording 992 strikeouts across 878 innings of work. He has given up a total of 316 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.109 and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 5.14, having faced 3,552 batters over his career. Bieber holds a career record of 65-34 and maintains a 3.24 ERA, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown, against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Tampa Bay (+110)
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