Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Washington Nationals
Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (-145) vs. Washington (+125)
The Washington Nationals (53-80) are set to host the Tampa Bay Rays (64-69) at Nationals Park this Saturday. Betting odds reflect the Rays at -145 and the Nationals at +125, with an over/under set at 9 runs. Scheduled to pitch are Ryan Pepiot and Jake Irvin.
The Rays have achieved 202 doubles and launched 149 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .401, they have struck out 1,138 times while drawing walks on 386 occasions. Collectively, the Tampa Bay Rays score an average of 4.5 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league. This season, they’ve accumulated 564 RBIs and 1,129 hits, contributing to a team batting average of .251. Overall, they’ve crossed the plate 596 times with an on-base percentage of .314.
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The Rays’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.02, with a collective WHIP of 1.21. They have allowed 177 home runs and given up 558 runs total (ranking 12th in MLB). Tampa Bay has faced 1,047 hits this season, averaging 8.0 hits allowed per 9 innings, and has surrendered 518 earned runs. Their earned run average is 3.96 (15th in MLB), with 1,142 strikeouts. The Rays’ staff has issued 378 walks, and their FIP for the year stands at 4.24.
This season, the Rays have used 418 pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 135 runners, with 32.6% scoring. They have secured 28 saves in 50 opportunities, yielding a save conversion rate of 56.0% across 124 save situations. The relief pitchers have obtained 73 holds this season (ranking 16th in the league). This bullpen has made 93 appearances with opponents on base, including 124 occurrences in high-leverage situations.
Pepiot boasts a career record of 22-19, with a FIP of 3.46. He has faced 1,476 hitters in the majors, conceding 281 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) along with 132 walks. His earned run average is 3.51 (141 earned runs allowed), and he holds a career WHIP of 1.144. Across 361 innings pitched, he has recorded 371 strikeouts to date.
The Washington Nationals have posted a team OBP of .309 with a .243 batting average this season. With 1,062 strikeouts (22nd in the league), they also have 1,084 hits. The Nationals have hit 126 home runs and driven in 543 runs overall. Their team slugging percentage is .387, averaging 4.25 runs per game (21st in the league). They have achieved 219 doubles and have walked 382 times, accruing a total of 565 runs.
Washington’s bullpen has entered 41 save opportunities, converting 26, ranking them 13th in save percentage (63.4%). This season, they have utilized 469 pitchers, with relief efforts appearing 101 times in high leverage and 132 times with runners on base. The inherited score percentage stands at 39.7% from their 224 inherited base runners. The Nationals have met 97 save situations, achieving 55 holds and 15 blown saves.
Throughout his MLB career, Irvin has allowed 451 hits, with 354 strikeouts in 456 innings. He holds a 21-30 career record and an earned run average of 4.79, allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings. Irvin has given up 243 earned runs, accumulating a WHIP of 1.335 and exhibiting a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.24, having faced 1,950 batters in total.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Back Washington (+125)
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