Tarleton State Texans vs LSU Tigers Prediction for 11/5/2025: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Tarleton State Texans vs LSU Tigers Prediction for 11/5/2025: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Tarleton State Texans vs LSU Tigers
  • Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
  • Venue: Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
  • Broadcast: SECN+

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On Wednesday, the LSU Tigers (14-18 last season) are set to host the Tarleton State Texans (12-20 last season) at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center.

College Basketball Predictions for LSU Tigers

In their previous outing, the Tarleton State Texans faced California Baptist, suffering a close defeat with a score of 55-51. In that game, Tarleton achieved a field goal percentage of 43.2% (19 out of 44) and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 1 of their 10 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they managed to convert 12 of 16 attempts for a 75.0% success rate. On the boards, they secured 22 rebounds, including 2 offensive rebounds, alongside dishing out 6 assists, forcing 12 turnovers from their opponents while adding 4 steals. Defensively, Tarleton allowed California Baptist to shoot 32.8% from the field (19 of 58). California Baptist registered 12 assists and recorded 7 steals and grabbed 34 rebounds (12 offensive, 22 defensive), without any blocks. Additionally, California Baptist shot 71.4% from the charity stripe, converting 10 of 14 attempts, and went 7 for 26 from long range. Tarleton finished with 12 fouls compared to California Baptist’s 15.

Dantwan Grimes played a pivotal role, scoring 16 points on 7 of 10 shooting while contributing 7 rebounds and 3 assists in 40 minutes on the floor, boasting an impressive 70.0% shooting accuracy.

In the prior season, Tarleton State concluded with a 12-20 record, averaging 63.3 points per game (357th in the nation) with a field goal percentage of 43.2%. From 3-point range, they converted 32.4% of their shots (132 of 408) and made 73.3% of their free throws. The team averaged 30.3 rebounds per game and accumulated 338 assists throughout the season, ranking 354th nationally. They averaged 17.6 turnovers and committed 19.1 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Texans managed to force their rivals into 16.7 turnovers per game while drawing an average of 19.5 fouls. Last season, they ranked 178th nationally in allowing assists, with 434 surrendered. They allowed opponents to shoot 44.4% from the field (722 of 1,627) and grabbed 31.7 rebounds per game. Additionally, they permitted opponents to convert 34.0% of their three-point shots and ranked 95th in points allowed per game (69.6).

The LSU Tigers encountered a setback in their last game, falling 91-62 to Mississippi State. They allowed Mississippi State to collect a total of 40 rebounds (10 offensive). The Tigers shot 44.1% from three-point territory, making 15 of 34 attempts, and finished at 60.0% from the free-throw line (6 out of 10). In this matchup, LSU allowed Mississippi State to convert 35 of 67 field goal attempts, translating to a shooting percentage of 52.2%. LSU completed 22 of 56 field goal attempts, resulting in a 39.3% success rate. From beyond the arc, the Tigers converted just 5 of their 26 attempts (19.2%) and were successful on 50.0% of their free throws (13 out of 26). Mississippi State was called for 22 fouls, allowing LSU 26 opportunities at the charity stripe. The Tigers recorded 15 turnovers while earning 8 steals during the contest and collected 32 rebounds overall, comprising 24 defensive and 8 offensive boards.

Jordan Sears was a standout for the Tigers, shooting 7 of 17 for a field goal percentage of 41.2% while recording 20 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists in 38 minutes of action.

Last season, the Tigers finished with a record of 14-18, averaging 16.8 personal fouls per game and shooting 71.4% from the free-throw line. They provided 12.8 assists per game (ranking 244th) and averaged 13.1 turnovers. Over the season, LSU scored a total of 2,363 points (73.8 per game) and gathered 35.7 rebounds per game, achieving a field goal percentage of 44.5%, ranking 185th in college basketball.

Defensively, LSU ranked 228th in Division 1 for points allowed per game (73.6). They generated an average of 11.6 turnovers for their opponents and allowed teams to shoot 42.5% from the field (98th nationally). The Tigers yielded 32.3% from three-point range (232 of 718) while their opponents converted on 70.6% of free throws. LSU allowed an average of 12.6 assists and 37.9 rebounds per game, ranking 129th and 339th in Division 1 respectively.

Which team will cover the spread in tonight’s NCAA contest?

Prediction: Go with LSU

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Pick: LSU Tigers
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