- Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson
- UFC Seattle
- Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
- Saturday, March 28, 2026
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Terrance McKinney is set to face Kyle Nelson in the Octagon at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The initial moneyline features McKinney at -173 and Nelson at +148.
Terrance “T. Wrecks” McKinney aims to enhance his record, currently standing at 17-8-0. At 31 years old, he weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5’10” tall, with a reach of 73 inches. Conversely, Kyle “The Monster” Nelson is 5’11” and also weighs 155 lbs, looking to improve his career record of 17-6-1 at the age of 34, with a reach of 71 inches. In terms of striking statistics, McKinney lands an impressive 6.24 significant strikes per minute compared to Nelson’s 3.60 strikes. McKinney has a striking accuracy of 56%, whereas Nelson lands 45% of his attempts. Regarding defense, McKinney absorbs 3.46 significant strikes per minute, while Nelson takes in 4.48. Notably, McKinney successfully defends against 43% of incoming strikes, whereas Nelson has a defense rate of 53%.
| UFC Seattle | Terrance McKinney | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -173 | +148 |
| Record | 17-8-0 | 17-6-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 2:46 | 10:24 |
| Height | 5’10” | 5’11” |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 73″ | 71″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.24 | 3.60 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 45% |
In the grappling department, Terrance McKinney exhibits superior wrestling skills, achieving a takedown rate of 3.34 per 15 minutes. He completes 40% of his takedown attempts and defends against 72% of his opponent’s takedowns. On the other hand, Nelson completes only 23% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends 66% of attempts against him. When it comes to submissions, McKinney shows greater experience, attempting an average of 2.1 submissions per 15 minutes, while Nelson attempts 0.5 submissions across three rounds.
In his most recent fight, Terrance McKinney faced Chris Duncan, suffering a loss via anaconda choke in Round 1. During the bout, Duncan landed 53 of 75 total strikes, while McKinney connected on 31 of 57. Significant strikes showed Duncan’s accuracy at 69%, landing 38 of 55, predominantly targeting the head. McKinney achieved 54% accuracy with 31 of 57 significant strikes, which included 26 successful strikes to the head. Notably, 26% of Duncan’s significant strikes and 77% of McKinney’s were landed from a distance.
Kyle Nelson’s last Octagon appearance featured a unanimous decision victory over Matt Frevola in Round 3. Frevola successfully connected on 90% of his distance strikes, while Nelson achieved 73% in that regard. Nelson landed 46% of his total strikes, with 63 out of 135. Out of these, 41 were directed at the head. Frevola managed to land 43 of 136 total strikes, including 23 of 103 head-directed significant strikes. Overall, Frevola’s total strike accuracy stood at 60 out of 155 attempted following Nelson’s total of 92 landed out of 170 strikes thrown.
Other Upcoming Bouts of Interest
Fans should also keep an eye on Ignacio Bahamondes as he challenges Tofiq Musayev. Bahamondes hopes to secure a victory to improve his record of 17-6-0. The 28-year-old fighter weighs 155 lbs and stands at 6’3″, with a reach of 75 inches. Musayev measures 5’9″ and weighs 155 lbs, looking to boost his record of 22-6-0. In terms of grappling, Bahamondes averages 0.50 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Musayev manages 0.90. When striking, Bahamondes connects on 6.55 strikes per minute with a 45% accuracy rate, whereas Musayev lands 0.44 strikes per minute at a 33% rate.
Another notable matchup features Lance Gibson Jr. taking on Chase Hooper. Hooper, with a record of 16-4-1, steps into the cage at 155 lbs and stands 6’1″ tall, with a 74″ reach. Gibson Jr., meanwhile, is 5’9″, fighting at 155 lbs, and looking to improve his 9-2-0 record at 31 years old, along with a reach of 72 inches. Hooper succeeds in stopping 55% of takedown attempts while completing 33% of his own. Conversely, Gibson Jr. finishes 66% of his takedown attempts while successfully defending 50% against opponents. In striking, Hooper lands 4.51 strikes per minute and absorbs 2.98, while Gibson Jr. connects on 2.00 strikes per minute and takes 4.33 per minute.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s thrilling UFC matchup?
Recommendation: Bet on Terrance McKinney (-173)
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