Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Prediction for College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 10/4/2025

Home » Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Prediction for College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 10/4/2025

  • Matchup: Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
  • Broadcast: ESPN
  • Betting Odds: Gators (+6.5)
  • Total Points Over/Under: 43.5

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The Texas Longhorns (3-1) are set to take on the Florida Gators (1-3) at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The Gators enter this contest as 6.5-point underdogs, with the total points line established at 43.5.

Currently standing at 3-1, the Longhorns have shown strong performance this season. In their previous game, they decisively defeated the Sam Houston Bearkats with a score of 55-0. The Texas offense executed 41 rushing attempts, accumulating 264 yards, translating to an impressive 6.4 yards per carry. Overall, Texas ran 69 plays, amassing a total of 607 yards. Defensively, they allowed 13 completions on 25 attempts, resulting in 86 passing yards with a completion rate of 52.0%. Against the run, they yielded just 27 yards on 26 attempts, allowing only 1.0 yards per carry.

Football predictions Jadan Baugh Florida Gators best bets odds

Offensively, the Longhorns average 31.8 points per game, ranking them strongly with 202.8 rushing yards per game, positioning them 37th nationally. For the season, they have accrued 1,755 total yards, scoring 9 touchdowns via the air and 7 on the ground. Texas has successfully converted 83 first downs while facing 34 penalties for 313 yards. They have turned the ball over four times.

Defensively, the Longhorns have allowed 605 passing yards, placing them 11th in Division 1. They yield an average of 151.3 passing yards per game with a completion percentage allowed at 57.4%. Overall, Texas surrenders an average of 211.0 yards per game, ranking them 4th in the nation, with 1 passing touchdown and 3 rushing touchdowns allowed. Notably, they excel defensively, permitting only 2.1 yards per carry and 59.8 rushing yards per game, with 239 rushing yards allowed across 4 games. Their defense stands strong at 2nd in the nation, limiting opponents to just 7.8 points per game.

The Florida Gators enter with a record of 1-3 this season. In their last outing, they faced the Miami Hurricanes, suffering a defeat with a score of 26-7. The Gators struggled defensively, allowing 46 rushing attempts for 184 yards (4.0 yards per attempt). Their secondary managed a completion rate against them of 56.7%, yielding 160 yards on 17 completions out of 30 attempts. On offense, Florida generated 141 total yards from 52 plays (2.7 yards per play) and managed a mere 80 rushing yards on 29 carries, averaging 2.8 yards per run.

The Gators are averaging 328.3 total yards per game, ranking 115th nationally. Their offensive penalties have resulted in 180 yards on 21 infractions, placing them 104th for discipline. They average 123.0 rushing yards per game, totaling 492 rushing yards this season. The team has thrown 6 interceptions, has not fumbled, and has recorded 78 first downs. However, their scoring average of 22.0 points per game ranks them 99th in the nation. Overall, Florida has passed for 821 yards this season, averaging 205.3 yards per game, which ranks 90th in college football.

Defensively, Florida has allowed 445 rushing yards (111.3 per game) along with 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Additionally, they’ve given up 2 passing touchdowns and 173.0 passing yards per game, placing them 32nd overall. Over the season, they have conceded a total of 64 points and have recovered 2 fumbles while securing 2 interceptions. The Gators’ defense has participated in 236 plays, ranking them 11th in college football, and they currently allow 16.0 points per game, standing 24th nationwide.

Who will prevail in this clash between the Longhorns and the Gators against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on the Gators +6.5

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Pick: Florida Gators +6.5
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