Matchup: Texas Rangers vs New York Mets
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Texas (-130) New York (+110)
The Texas Rangers (77-70) are set to face off against the New York Mets (76-71) at Citi Field this Sunday. With the moneyline favoring Texas at -130, New York comes in at +110. The total for the game is over/under 9. On the mound will be Jacob Latz representing Texas and Nolan McLean for New York.
As a collective, the Texas Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 20th in Major League Baseball (MLB). With a total of 630 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .305, the Rangers have managed to hit 224 doubles and 163 home runs. They’ve brought in 606 RBIs and amassed 1,165 hits this season; their batting average stands at .236. Their slugging percentage is reported at .387 with 1,201 strikeouts and 450 walks recorded.
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The Rangers boast a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.17. They have surrendered 155 home runs and allowed a total of 539 runs (1st in MLB). With 1,109 hits conceded (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and 499 earned runs, Texas holds a notable staff ERA of 3.43 (1st in MLB) this year, having struck out 1,216 batters. Their pitchers have given away 424 walks, with a collective FIP of 3.90.
Texas relievers have achieved a save rate of 56.5% and have participated in 144 save situations. Having inherited 224 base runners this year, they’ve seen 31.3% score. Rangers relief pitchers have faced runners on 157 occasions and partaken in 160 high-leverage spots. This season, the Rangers have had 464 relief appearances, earning 77 holds (22nd in MLB) and securing 35 saves, missing 27 out of 62 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Rangers have converted 72.2% of balls in play into outs across 11,775 innings, ranking them 1st in professional baseball. Texas has tallied 3,925 putouts, 1,263 assists, and 46 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in MLB) alongside 116 double plays.
Jacob Latz, with a career record of 4-4, maintains a FIP of 3.11 and has faced 535 batters at the major league level. Over 128 innings, he has allowed 105 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and 62 walks, holding an ERA of 3.16 (45 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.302. Thus far, he has recorded 115 strikeouts in his career.
The New York Mets have a team on-base percentage of .328 and a batting average of .250 in 2025. The roster has struck out 1,192 times (20th in the league) and has logged 1,234 hits. With 199 home runs and 677 RBIs, New York has a team slugging percentage of .427, averaging 4.72 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have also hit 243 doubles, recorded 517 walks, and driven in 694 runs.
On the pitching side, the Mets have allowed 645 runs with an ERA of 4.02 (579 earned runs allowed). They have given up 134 home runs, conceding 4.48 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The team’s WHIP is 1.335, and they hold a FIP of 3.89 collectively this year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.80 (1,268 strikeouts to 518 walks), ranking them 18th in overall hits allowed with 1,213.
New York’s relief pitchers have a score inherited percentage of 34.2% from 237 inherited base runners. They have appeared in 172 high-pressure situations and faced runners on 157 occasions. The Mets have recorded 152 save opportunities this season, leading to 89 holds and 25 blown saves. Their save percentage is 60.3%, ranking 21st in MLB, with 477 relief pitchers utilized throughout the year.
In a total of 11,673 innings, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in MLB). The Mets have achieved 108 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB), alongside recording 1,315 assists, 67 errors, and totaling 3,891 putouts this season.
Nolan McLean has, in his MLB experience, allowed 20 hits while achieving 33 strikeouts over 31 innings. Holding a 4-1 career record, McLean has maintained an impressive 1.44 ERA and permitted 5.8 hits every 9 innings, giving up a total of 5 earned runs alongside a WHIP of 0.962 and a FIP of 1.4. His K/BB ratio is pegged at 3.30, having faced 119 batters in his baseball career.
Who will take the victory in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Go with New York (+110)
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