Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen Preview, College Basketball Predictions, Picks, Odds & Best Bets for 1/20/2026

Home » Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen Preview, College Basketball Predictions, Picks, Odds & Best Bets for 1/20/2026

  • Matchup: Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen
  • Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
  • Venue: Mullins Center, Amherst, MA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The UMass Minutemen (11-8) will face off against the Toledo Rockets (10-8) at the Mullins Center on Tuesday.

College Basketball Picks: Leroy Blyden Jr.'s Predictions and Best Bets

In their most recent game, the Toledo Rockets fell to Kent State with a narrow defeat of 87-84. Toledo shot 47.5% from the field (28 of 59) and achieved a 42.1% success rate from three-point range, sinking 8 of 19 attempts. At the free-throw line, they converted 20 of 29 opportunities for a 69.0% accuracy. The Rockets gathered a total of 26 rebounds, including 9 offensive boards, along with distributing 15 assists. They forced 9 turnovers and recorded 5 steals. Defensively, they allowed Kent State to shoot 47.4% (27 out of 57). Kent State registered 16 assists and 7 steals, while also collecting 36 rebounds (12 offensive, 24 defensive). They completed 72.2% of their free throws, making 26 of 36 attempts, and hit 7 of 24 three-point shots. In terms of fouls, Toledo committed 25, while Kent State had 27.

Leroy Blyden Jr. was a standout performer, shooting 54.5% from the field, contributing 2 assists, and logging 31 minutes of play while grabbing 6 rebounds. He finished with 19 points on 6 of 11 shooting.

For the season, Toledo records a 10-8 win-loss record. The team averages 10.7 turnovers and commits 15.1 personal fouls per game. They are pulling down 35.3 rebounds on average, with 293 assists this season, ranking 87th in the nation for assists. The Rockets connect on 34.4% of their attempts from beyond the arc (123 of 358) and have a free throw percentage of 77.4%. They score an average of 82.8 points per game (76th nationally) with a shooting percentage of 47.6%.

Defensively, the Rockets average 13.3 forced turnovers and commit 18.2 personal fouls per game, allowing a 34.8% shooting percentage from three-point range. They rank 303rd in Division I for points allowed per game (78.3), giving up a field goal percentage of 47.9% (535 of 1,118). Toledo allows an average of 34.8 rebounds per game and ranks 304th in assists allowed, surrendering 284 assists this season.

The UMass Minutemen faced a close loss against Northern Illinois, finishing 70-68 in their last outing. UMass secured 30 total rebounds (24 defensive and 6 offensive) and turned the ball over 18 times while achieving 10 steals. Northern Illinois committed 20 fouls, resulting in 30 free throw attempts for UMass, who converted 21 for a 70.0% free throw rate. The Minutemen managed to hit 7 out of 19 three-point attempts (36.8%) and finished with a field goal percentage of 38.5% (20 of 52). The Minutemen allowed Northern Illinois to shoot 36.2% from the floor (21 of 58) and were 24.1% from beyond the arc (7 of 29), finishing with a free throw rate of 70.0% from 21 attempts. They surrendered 29 rebounds to Northern Illinois, 9 of which were offensive.

Leonardo Bettiol played a pivotal role for UMass, scoring 25 points in just 29 minutes of play. He shot 7 of 12 for a 58.3% field goal percentage and added 7 rebounds and 1 assist to his performance.

For the season, UMass holds a record of 11-8. They shoot 46.2% from the field, ranking 135th nationally, and have accumulated 1,522 points this season, averaging 80.1 points per game. The team collects 38.3 rebounds per game and facilitates an average of 17.7 assists (27th in the country), while giving away possession 13.8 times each game. UMass commits 20.9 fouls per game and has a free throw percentage of 67.4%.

Defensively, UMass is ranked 201st, allowing 74.2 points per game. They force 13.1 turnovers per game and have a shooting percentage allowed of 43.5% (173rd in college basketball). UMass permits their opponents to shoot 28.6% from three-point territory (129 of 451) and 71.1% from the free-throw line. They yield 14.2 assists and 32.4 rebounds per game, ranking 242nd and 68th respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup?

Prediction: Take Toledo

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Pick: Toledo Rockets
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