Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Forecast, 7/30/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Forecast, 7/30/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: Toronto (-128) Baltimore (+106)

This Wednesday, Oriole Park at Camden Yards will host an exciting clash between the Baltimore Orioles (48-58) and the Toronto Blue Jays (63-44). The moneyline for this encounter floats at -128 for the Blue Jays and +106 for the Orioles, with the total set at 8.5 runs. On the mound, Toronto’s Jose Berrios faces Baltimore’s Dean Kremer.

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The Toronto Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .414, striking out 713 times while earning 359 walks. They’ve reported 481 RBIs and connected for 959 hits throughout the season, maintaining a batting average of .264. The team has hit 192 doubles and 114 home runs, accumulating a total of 505 runs with an on-base percentage of .334. As a team, the Blue Jays score an average of 4.7 runs per game, ranking 8th in MLB.

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The Blue Jays’ K/BB ratio stands at 2.92, with their pitching staff holding a collective WHIP of 1.25. They have yielded 144 home runs and 470 runs (19th in MLB). Toronto allowed 854 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 439 earned runs, finishing the season with a 4.16 ERA (19th in league) while clocking 959 strikeouts against 328 walks, with a FIP of 4.24.

Throughout the season, the Blue Jays have utilized 362 relief pitchers. The bullpen’s inherited runners total 149, with 30.9% scoring. They have achieved 31 saves out of 48 opportunities, marking a 64.6% save rate, and finding themselves in 113 save situations. Additionally, the relief pitchers have registered 63 holds this year (13th overall). They’ve approached games with opponents on base 106 times and have featured in 104 high-leverage situations.

Currently, the Toronto Blue Jays have tallied 2,849 putouts, 793 assists, and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .985, ranking them 23rd in professional baseball, with 78 double plays converted. They’ve turned 70.3% of balls in play into outs over 8,547 innings, placing them at 12th in professional baseball.

Berrios has pitched for 1,532 innings throughout his major league career, achieving 1,451 strikeouts. His earned run average is 4.05 (690 allowed earned runs) alongside a WHIP of 1.234. He’s given up 1,429 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) while earning 461 walks. With a career record of 106-81, Berrios’ FIP is 3.99 against 6,433 batters.

The Baltimore Orioles have notched 130 home runs and 429 RBIs this season, hitting 173 doubles, drawing 292 walks, and scoring 455 total runs. Their team on-base percentage is .307 with a season batting average of .242. The Orioles have a slugging percentage of .407, averaging 4.29 runs per game (18th in MLB). They’ve faced 908 strikeouts (11th in MLB) and gathered 860 hits.

This season, the Orioles’ collective WHIP stands at 1.408, with a FIP of 4.54. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.40 (870 strikeouts to 351 walks). They rank 28th in MLB for total hits allowed with 960 and have allowed 149 HRs, permitting 5.16 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The team ERA is 4.89, with 534 runs allowed (506 earned runs).

Baltimore’s bullpen has an inherited run score percentage of 19.9% out of 151 runners. Their relievers have faced 109 high leverage situations along with 113 occasions with base runners. Within their 116 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 75 holds and recorded 13 blown saves, sitting at 11th in the league with a save rate of 65.8%. This season, they’ve deployed 369 relievers, with 38 save opportunities resulting in 25 completed saves.

Over 8,382 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (29th in MLB). With a .985 fielding percentage (22nd in baseball), they’ve achieved 72 double plays, recording 923 assists, and 56 errors while completing 2,794 putouts.

Kremer, through his career, has permitted 602 hits alongside achieving 535 strikeouts across 621 innings. He’s allowed 295 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.306, and features a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.56, facing 2,634 batters in his career. Kremer has a career record of 38 wins and 37 losses with a 4.27 ERA, surrendering 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Baltimore (+106)

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