Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: Toronto (-132) Cincinnati (+110)
The Cincinnati Reds, sporting a record of 69-68, are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays, who stand at 78-58, at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The moneyline favors the Blue Jays at -132, with the Reds available at +110. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8. Starting pitchers for this game will be Jose Berrios and Nick Lodolo.
This season, the Blue Jays have amassed 244 doubles and slugged 162 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .429, they’ve been struck out 917 times while drawing 442 walks. As a team, they average 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 7th in MLB. With 643 RBIs and 1,240 hits this season, their batting average stands at .267. They have scored 667 runs, holding an on-base percentage of .336.
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The Blue Jays record a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and have a collective WHIP of 1.27. The pitching staff has given up 185 home runs and 615 runs this season, ranking 19th in the league. Toronto has allowed 1,094 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 569 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.24 (19th in MLB), with 1,209 strikeouts. The squad has issued 434 walks, and their FIP holds at 4.36 this year.
Toronto’s bullpen has entered games with 144 runners on base and has been called upon in high-leverage situations 139 times. The relief corps has secured 81 holds this season (11th in MLB) and achieved a save percentage of 63.3%, successfully converting 38 saves out of 60 opportunities while blowing 22 saves. This group has inherited 206 runners, allowing 30.1% to score. The Blue Jays have utilized 471 relief pitchers throughout the season.
This year, the Toronto Blue Jays have registered 3,623 putouts, 1,028 assists, and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is .984, placing them 23rd in the majors, while turning 96 double plays. They have converted 70.2% of balls put into play into outs over 10,869 innings, ranking them 12th in the league.
Berrios (career record of 108-82) has a FIP of 4.00 and has faced 6,544 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,458 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per nine innings) and issued 466 walks. His earned run average stands at 4.06 (703 ERs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.235. Berrios has pitched for 1,557 innings, accumulating 1,472 strikeouts in his professional career.
The Cincinnati Reds have posted an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .246 this season. They have struck out 1,177 times (ranked 10th in MLB) and logged 1,127 hits. The Reds have hit 134 home runs and notched 569 RBIs. With a team slugging percentage of .390, they score an average of 4.44 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have also recorded 215 doubles, walked 444 times, and accumulated 604 runs.
The Reds’ pitching staff has allowed 574 runs this season while maintaining an ERA of 3.84 (514 earned runs given up). They have yielded 154 home runs, allowing 4.29 runs per 9 innings (ranked 13th in MLB). The team has a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 4.07. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,143 strikeouts to 426 walks), ranking them 7th in MLB in hits allowed, with a total of 1,066 hits.
Cincinnati’s bullpen has been called upon in 50 save situations, converting 31 saves. They are 18th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.0% and have used 464 relief pitchers this year. Their relievers have entered high-leverage situations 138 times, with 124 occurrences of runners on base. Cincinnati’s relievers have inherited 184 runners, with a score rate of 32.1%. In 135 save opportunities, the Reds have recorded 83 holds but also experienced 19 blown saves.
The Reds have executed 86 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (ranked 26th in MLB). They have tallied 1,035 assists, committed 79 errors, and achieved a total of 3,611 putouts this season. Out of 10,833 innings, they have a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (7th in MLB).
Lodolo (career record of 23-21) possesses a 4.07 ERA, allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.87, facing 1,647 opposing batters during his professional career. He has yielded 175 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.206 and a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Lodolo has given up 356 hits while striking out 430 batters over 387 innings.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Pick: Back Cincinnati (+110)
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