Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins
Event Date: Friday, August 22, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Toronto (-150) Miami (+125)
The Toronto Blue Jays (74-54) are gearing up to face the Miami Marlins (60-67) this Friday at loanDepot park. The moneyline is set with Toronto at -150 and Miami at +125. The total runs for this game is projected at 8. Shane Bieber and Janson Junk are anticipated to take the mound.
As a collective, the Blue Jays have achieved 227 doubles and launched 148 home runs. They hold a .429 slugging percentage and have struck out 848 times while earning 413 walks. Averaging 4.9 runs per game, Toronto ranks 7th in the league with 593 RBIs and 1,155 hits this season. Their batting average currently stands at .268, with a total of 617 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .338.
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With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75, the Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.27. They have allowed 170 home runs and registered 567 runs (22nd overall). Toronto has given up 1,008 base hits and 526 earned runs, maintaining a 4.24 team ERA (22nd in the league) while striking out 1,111 batters. The pitching staff has walked 404 hitters, leading to a FIP of 4.36 this season.
Blue Jays’ relief pitchers have faced runners on base 129 times, with 125 appearances in clutch situations. The bullpen has achieved 75 holds (11th overall) and boasts a save rate of 64.8%, entering 132 save situations. They have converted 35 saves, missing 19 of 54 opportunities, and inherited 188 base runners, with 29.8% scoring. Toronto has deployed 434 relief pitchers this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays have tallied 3,350 putouts, along with 939 assists and 70 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .984, which ranks 24th in the league. They’ve turned 88 double plays, successfully converting 70.4% of balls put in play into outs over 10,050 innings, placing them 12th in the league.
Bieber (career record of 62-32) holds a FIP of 3.18 and has faced 3,415 hitters throughout his Major League career. He has yielded 752 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and allowed 188 walks, maintaining an ERA of 3.22 (302 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.115. In his career, Bieber has pitched 843 innings and accrued 958 strikeouts.
The Marlins carry a team SLG% of .397, averaging 4.31 runs per game (19th in Major League Baseball). They have achieved 210 doubles, 376 walks, while accumulating 539 runs. With 123 home runs and 517 RBIs, they have struck out 978 times (25th overall) and logged 1,072 base hits, maintaining a .315 OBP and a .251 batting average this season.
Miami’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 4.15. They rank 22nd in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,053, having surrendered 602 runs and holding a team ERA of 4.55 (559 earned runs). With a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (985 strikeouts to 386 walks), they’ve allowed 137 home runs, yielding 4.90 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).
The Marlins have utilized bullpen pitchers in 49 save situations, achieving 30 saves, ranking 19th in MLB with a 61.2% save rate. They have put 385 bullpen pitchers into action this year, including 132 times in high leverage situations and 93 times with runners on base. The inherited score percentage for their relief corps is 31.2% from 138 inherited runners. With 116 save situations, Miami boasts 66 holds and 19 blown saves.
The Miami Marlins have turned 84 double plays this season and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in MLB). They have amassed 1,063 assists, recorded 62 errors, and achieved 3,319 putouts this campaign. In 9,957 innings played, their defensive efficiency is currently at 69.8% (15th in baseball).
Throughout his career, Junk has allowed 143 base hits while striking out 92 batters over 122 innings. With a career record of 7-5, Junk has a 4.94 ERA and allows about 10.5 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 67 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.9. His K/BB ratio stands at 4.60, having faced 521 opposing hitters in his MLB career.
Which team will triumph tonight against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Miami (+125)
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