Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
Event Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Odds: Toronto (-150) New York (+125)
The Toronto Blue Jays, currently holding an 81-59 record, will clash with the New York Yankees, who sit at 78-62, this Sunday at Yankee Stadium. The oddsmakers have placed the Blue Jays at -150, while the Yankees are at +125. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Chris Bassitt and Max Fried.
As a team, the Blue Jays are hitting at a slugging percentage of .435 and have been struck out 949 times, with 457 walks recorded. They have achieved 678 runs batted in and 1,291 hits so far this season, holding a batting average of .270. The squad has amassed 254 doubles and launched 173 home runs. Offensively, Toronto averages 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league.
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Toronto’s pitching staff holds a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.28, placing them 21st in the league, with a total of 1,244 strikeouts this season. They have surrendered 189 home runs and 642 total runs, ranking 20th in baseball. This year, they’ve walked 441 batters with an overall FIP of 4.34. The Blue Jays have allowed 1,143 hits, averaging 8.3 hits per 9 innings, and have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.82, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
This season, the Blue Jays have utilized 489 relievers, with 30.2% of inherited runners scoring. Their bullpen has secured 39 saves out of 62 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 62.9%. With 153 save situations, they lead the league with 86 holds, and have been brought in with base runners 150 times as well as entering 142 high leverage situations.
Defensively, the Blue Jays have recorded 3,729 putouts, 1,067 assists, and 80 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, which ranks 25th in MLB. They have achieved 100 double plays and converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs over 11,187 innings, placing them 15th in the league.
Chris Bassitt, with a career record of 83-63, has a FIP of 3.60, facing 5,348 batters in his major league career. He has allowed 1,171 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and issued 403 walks, with an ERA of 3.65 after allowing 513 earned runs and maintaining a career WHIP of 1.245. Over 1,264 innings, he has accumulated 1,179 strikeouts.
The New York Yankees showcase a slugging percentage of .458 and average 5.29 runs per game, the best in baseball. They have tallied 225 doubles, drawn 550 walks, and scored 741 runs. With 241 home runs and 714 RBIs, the Yankees have struck out 1,241 times (6th in MLB) and secured 1,193 hits, leading to a .251 batting average and a .331 on-base percentage this season.
On the mound, the New York pitching staff has allowed 598 runs this season, registering a team ERA of 3.92 with 542 earned runs. They have conceded 152 home runs and allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings, ranking 13th in baseball. The Yankees’ WHIP stands at 1.260 with a team FIP of 4.01. They have an impressive K/BB ratio of 9.10, with 1,253 strikeouts against 487 walks, positioning them 3rd in total hits allowed with 1,079.
The Yankees’ bullpen has a 27.0% inherited runners scoring rate from 226 opportunities. They have made 145 high leverage appearances and pitched with base runners on 148 occasions. With 142 save situations, New York has 85 holds and 21 blown saves, resulting in a save percentage of 62.5%. This season, 462 relief pitchers have been utilized, converting 35 saves from 56 chances.
This season, New York has 95 double plays to their credit, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in the league). They have logged 1,203 assists, 80 errors, and notched 3,731 putouts this season. The Yankees’ defensive efficiency stands at 70.5%, ranking 10th in the majors over 11,193 innings.
Max Fried, with a career record of 88-41, boasts a 3.06 ERA and allows 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.51, facing 4,309 batters throughout his career. He has allowed 358 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.0. Fried has yielded 925 hits while recording 1,022 strikeouts in 1,053 innings pitched.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Toronto (-150)
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