Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Odds: Toronto (-196) New York (+162)
The Toronto Blue Jays (81-59) are set to face the New York Yankees (77-62) this Friday at Yankee Stadium. The odds currently favor the Blue Jays at -196, while the Yankees sit at +162. The over/under for this matchup is 9 runs. Starting pitchers for the game will be Kevin Gausman for Toronto and Cam Schlittler for New York.
This season, the Toronto Blue Jays boast a slugging percentage of .435 and have accumulated 949 strikeouts while drawing 457 walks. They have achieved 678 RBIs from 1,291 hits, resulting in a batting average of .270. The team has recorded 254 doubles and hit 173 home runs, generating a total of 704 runs, leading to an on-base percentage of .339. With an average of 5.0 runs per game, they rank fourth in Major League Baseball.
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This season, the Blue Jays hold an earned run average of 4.28, placing them 21st in the league, and have struck out 1,244 batters. They’ve allowed 189 home runs and a total of 642 runs (also ranked 21st in MLB). Furthermore, their pitching staff has issued 441 walks, with a cumulative FIP of 4.34. Toronto has allowed 1,143 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and 591 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.27.
The Blue Jays’ bullpen has a save percentage of 62.9%, having faced 153 save situations so far. Relief pitchers have inherited 215 runners, of which 30.2% have scored. The bullpen has entered the game with runners on base 150 times and has appeared 142 times in high-leverage situations. In total, 489 relievers have taken the mound for the team this season, accumulating 86 holds (ranking 9th in the league) and 39 saves from 62 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Blue Jays convert 69.8% of balls in play into outs across 11,187 innings, ranking 16th in the majors. They have recorded 3,729 putouts, 1,067 assists, and 80 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, which places them 25th in the league, along with a total of 100 double plays.
Kevin Gausman has pitched 1,878 innings in his career, striking out 1,922 batters with an ERA of 3.83 (800 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.243. He has given up 1,806 hits (averaging 8.7 hits per nine innings) and 528 walks, holding a career win-loss record of 110-112 with a FIP of 3.78 against 7,856 batters faced.
The New York Yankees have hit 239 home runs and racked up 706 RBIs this season. They recorded 225 doubles, 543 walks, and have scored 733 runs. The Yankees currently have an on-base percentage of .331 and a team batting average of .251 with a slugging percentage of .458, leading to an average of 5.27 runs per game (1st in the league). However, they struck out 1,233 times (6th in the league) and managed 1,184 hits.
This year, the Yankees’ pitching staff has allowed 594 runs, carrying a team ERA of 3.93 (539 earned runs). They’ve given up 150 home runs and allow 4.33 runs per nine innings (ranking 13th in the league). The Yankees maintain a team WHIP of 1.258 and a FIP of 4.00 as a group this season, with a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,243 strikeouts against 484 walks), ranking 3rd in MLB for total hits allowed (1,069).
The Yankees’ bullpen has inherited 224 runners, with a score percentage of 27.2%. Relief pitchers have featured in 143 high-leverage situations and 147 times with runners on base. In 140 save opportunities, the Yankees have made 83 holds and 21 blown saves, sitting 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 62.5%. They have utilized 459 relief pitchers throughout the year and have secured 35 saves from 56 save chances.
On defense, the New York Yankees have turned 95 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in MLB). They have recorded 1,194 assists, 77 errors, and 3,704 putouts this season. With 11,112 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6% (9th in MLB).
Cam Schlittler, in his professional baseball career, has allowed 40 hits while striking out 54 batters over 48 innings pitched. With a 2-2 career record, he holds a 2.62 ERA, allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and recording a WHIP of 1.247, alongside a FIP of 2.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70, having faced 199 opposing hitters in his career.
Who will secure a victory in tonight’s MLB game — will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Toronto (-196)
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