- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
- Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Toronto (+110) New York (-132)
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In an exciting Game 4 of the ALDS, the New York Yankees (94-68) will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) at Yankee Stadium. The Blue Jays currently lead the series 2-1, with the moneyline for this game set at Toronto +110 and New York -132. The over/under is established at 7.5 runs, featuring pitchers Eric Lauer and Cam Schlittler on the mound.
The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a slugging percentage of .427, striking out 1,099 times while walking 520 times. With 771 RBIs and 1,461 hits in the season, they boast a team batting average of .265. Toronto has achieved 294 doubles and 191 home runs, totaling 798 runs scored and maintaining a .333 on-base percentage. On average, the Blue Jays score 4.9 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league.
The team’s pitching staff holds a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.27. The Blue Jays have allowed 209 home runs and 721 runs (19th in MLB). They have given up 1,313 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 668 earned runs, with a team ERA of 4.18 (19th in MLB). They have amassed 1,430 strikeouts while issuing 517 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.27.
Throughout the current season, the Blue Jays have sent 570 relievers to the mound. Their bullpen has inherited 254 runners, with 27.6% of those scoring. Toronto has secured 42 saves out of 65 opportunities, showcasing a save rate of 64.6%. The relievers have recorded 96 holds (10th in baseball), stepping into 178 situations with base runners and 156 high-leverage appearances.
Defensively, the Blue Jays have 4,314 putouts, 1,272 assists, and 86 errors for a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 18th in MLB. They have turned 118 double plays and converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs over 12,942 innings, placing them 14th in the league.
Eric Lauer has thrown 700 innings, recording 669 strikeouts throughout his career, with a career record of 45-39. He carries a FIP of 4.08 and has faced 3,003 batters, holding a 4.14 ERA (322 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.329. Lauer has allowed 675 hits, averaging 8.7 hits per 9 innings, with 256 walks.
The New York Yankees have tallied 274 home runs and 820 RBIs this season, with 255 doubles and 639 walks, resulting in 849 runs scored. Their team batting average stands at .251 with an on-base percentage of .332. New York’s slugging percentage is .455, leading the league with an average of 5.24 runs per game. They have recorded 1,463 strikeouts (3rd in MLB) and 1,371 hits.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.00, ranking 4th in baseball for total hits allowed (1,239). The team has given up 685 runs, leading to a 3.91 ERA (625 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.00, achieving 1,440 strikeouts against 557 walks, and allowing 175 home runs with an average of 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).
In 166 save opportunities, the Yankees have earned 100 holds and encountered 21 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound during 64 save chances, successfully securing 43 saves. They have been involved in 165 high-leverage situations and handled runners in 167 instances, with an inherited score percentage of 27.5% for 255 inherited base runners. The Yankees rank 7th in MLB, boasting a save rate of 67.2%, having utilized 533 relievers this season.
New York has converted 105 double plays with a fielding percentage of .984, ranking 24th in MLB. They have achieved 1,389 assists and 94 errors, along with 4,319 putouts across 12,957 innings, holding a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (6th in professional baseball).
Cam Schlittler has allowed 58 hits in his MLB career while achieving 84 strikeouts over 73 innings pitched. With a 4-3 record, he holds a 2.96 ERA and has permitted 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up 24 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.71 after facing 304 batters.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Toronto (+110)
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