- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners
- Date: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Toronto (+120) Seattle (-144)
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The Seattle Mariners (90-72) host the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) at T-Mobile Park this Wednesday for Game 3 of the ALCS, with the Mariners leading the series 2-0. The betting line has Toronto at +120 and Seattle at -144, with the total set at 7 runs. The starting pitchers are Shane Bieber and George Kirby.
This season, the Blue Jays have compiled a total of 294 doubles and launched 191 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .427, they have struck out 1,099 times and drawn 520 walks. Averaging 4.9 runs per game, Toronto ranks 4th in the league, amassing 771 RBIs and 1,461 hits, resulting in a batting average of .265 and an on-base percentage of .333.
The Toronto pitching staff has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.18, ranking 19th in MLB, with a total of 1,430 strikeouts. They have allowed 209 home runs and a total of 721 runs this season, also ranking 19th. Their walk count stands at 517, and their team FIP is 4.27. The Blue Jays have surrendered 1,313 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 668 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.77 and a collective WHIP of 1.27.
Toronto’s bullpen has a save percentage of 64.6%, having faced 168 save opportunities. They have inherited 254 runners, with 27.6% scoring. In total, they have made 570 appearances throughout the season, recording 96 holds (10th in MLB) and achieving 42 saves with 23 blown saves out of 65 chances.
This season, the Blue Jays have achieved 4,314 putouts, 1,272 assists, and committed 86 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 18th in the league. They have executed 118 double plays while converting 70.0% of balls in play into outs over 12,942 innings, placing 14th in professional baseball.
In his career, Bieber has pitched 883 innings and secured 995 strikeouts. With a 66-34 career record, he holds a FIP of 3.19 and has faced 3,574 batters in the majors. His ERA stands at 3.24, with a career WHIP of 1.111, yielding 786 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and 195 walks.
The Mariners have a team slugging percentage of .420, averaging 4.73 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have recorded 234 doubles, drawn 544 walks, and scored 766 runs, hitting 238 home runs and achieving 734 RBIs. The Mariners have struck out 1,446 times (6th in MLB) and accumulated 1,345 base hits, with an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .244.
Seattle’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.221 and a FIP of 3.98. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts against 454 walks). The Mariners rank 15th in total hits allowed (1,331 hits), with 192 home runs and an average of 4.27 runs allowed per 9 innings (13th in the league). Their team ERA stands at 3.87, having given up 694 runs this season.
The Mariners’ bullpen has faced 69 save situations this year, securing 43 saves and ranking 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.3%. They have used 550 bullpen pitchers, with 216 high-leverage appearances and 132 situations with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage is 25.2%, and they’ve recorded 90 holds and 26 blown saves in 159 save situations.
The Seattle Mariners have generated 118 double plays, boasting a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). They have made 1,355 assists, committed 69 errors, and achieved 4,388 putouts. Their defensive efficiency is 70.3% over 13,164 innings, ranking 12th in professional baseball.
Throughout his career, Kirby has allowed 616 hits and accrued 621 strikeouts in 637 innings. With a WHIP of 1.113 and a FIP of 3.5, he has permitted 254 earned runs. Kirby has faced 2,601 batters, holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6.68, and has a 3.59 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per 9 innings (record of 45-34).
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or winning outright?
Picks: Go with Toronto (+120)
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