- Matchup: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
- Venue: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
- Broadcast: MSG Network
- Betting Odds: Maple Leafs (-210) Sabres (+172)
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The Buffalo Sabres (3-4-0) are set to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) at KeyBank Center this Friday. The betting odds favor Toronto at -210, while Buffalo is listed at +172. The over/under total is fixed at 6.
In their last outing, the Toronto Maple Leafs faced a disappointing 5-2 defeat against the New Jersey Devils. Toronto incurred a total of 11 penalty minutes and had 2 power-play opportunities but failed to capitalize on either. The team’s offensive performance left much to be desired, as they managed to score only 2 goals from 25 shots.
So far this season, the Maple Leafs’ opponents have had 19 power-play chances (ranking 23rd overall) and successfully scored 4 goals. Toronto has faced 203 shots from opposing teams, achieving a save percentage of .877. Offensively, they have attempted 197 shots with a shooting percentage of 12.2%. At even strength, Toronto has allowed 21 goals while scoring 22. With 16 power play chances, they have netted 2 goals, resulting in a power play percentage of 12.50%. Currently, the Maple Leafs hold 7 points, giving them a .500 points percentage. They have recorded 24 goals this season (ranked 6th) while allowing 25 goals against.
In this matchup, Anthony Stolarz is expected to guard the net. Throughout his NHL career, Stolarz has been scored on 340 times, maintaining a goals against average (GAA) of 2.79. With 148 career games played, he has amassed a save percentage of .916 over 7,541 minutes. His win-loss record stands at 66-42-13, having started in 122 games. Stolarz has achieved 74 quality starts, boasting a quality start percentage of .607. He has faced 4,062 shots and made 3,722 saves during his career.
In their last game, the Buffalo Sabres secured a 4-2 victory against the Detroit Red Wings, scoring 4 goals on 31 shots and converting 1 of 5 power-play opportunities.
This season, the Sabres have netted 13 goals at even strength and 6 goals while on the power play (ranked 6th). They have recorded a total of 208 shots (11th in the league) with a shooting percentage of 9.13%, while allowing 230 shots against them. On the whole, the Buffalo Sabres have scored 19 goals, totaling 6 points, resulting in a points percentage of .429. They have allowed 20 goals, with 19 coming at even strength and 1 while shorthanded. The Sabres have capitalized on 24 power plays, achieving a power play percentage of 25.00%. They boast a stellar penalty kill rate of 96.15% on the opponents’ 26 chances, along with a save percentage of 91.3%.
In goal for Buffalo, Alex Lyon will be defending the crease. Lyon has recorded a career record of 53-42-11 over 119 games, with a quality start rate of 51.9%, achieving 55 quality starts. He has made 2,967 saves out of 3,285 shots, resulting in a save percentage of .903. Opponents have averaged 3.00 goals per game against him, leading to a total of 318 goals allowed. He has been the starter in 106 games, spending 6,004 minutes on the ice.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s NHL matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Expert’s Pick: Take Buffalo (+172)
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