- Matchup: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
- Broadcast: MSG Network
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The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-10) head to Madison Square Garden this Thursday to battle the New York Rangers (23-29-8).
The Maple Leafs showcased a resilient effort, settling for a 2-2 tie against the Flyers in their last outing. Toronto accrued 6 penalty minutes in that match, struggling offensively. They capitalized on 1 of their 3 power play chances while registering 2 goals from a total of 31 shots.
At even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 183 goals while scoring 166. They rank 30th in the league, allowing 154 power play opportunities, with opponents capitalizing 26 times. This season, the Maple Leafs have recorded 194 goals (14th in the NHL) but have allowed 209. They boast a shooting percentage of 11.6% from 1,675 shots. So far, they’ve collected 64 points, resulting in a points percentage of .525. Toronto has faced 1,941 shots against them, resulting in a save percentage of .892. With 143 power play attempts, the Leafs have scored 28 goals, marking a success rate of 19.58%.
The starting goaltender for this matchup is Joseph Woll. Throughout his career, Woll has faced 286 goals against him, with a goals against average of 2.80. He has participated in 105 games and holds a save percentage of .909 across 4,197 minutes. Woll’s record stands at 61-36-6, starting in 102 contests with 63 quality starts, leading to a quality start percentage of .618. He has faced a total of 3,147 shots and made 2,861 saves.
The Rangers are coming off a close 5-4 loss to the Blue Jackets, where they managed 4 goals from 33 shots on goal, missing their sole power play opportunity.
New York has attempted 1,534 shots this season (27th in the NHL), maintaining a shooting percentage of 10.23% and allowing the opposition 1,725 shots. Their penalty kill rate stands at 79.21% against 178 power plays, with a current save percentage of 89.0%. New York has achieved 147 power play opportunities, converting at a rate of 22.45%. At even strength, they have netted 124 goals and added 33 (19th in pro hockey) power play goals. In total, the Rangers have allowed 190 goals: 153 at even strength and 37 while shorthanded. This season, New York has amassed 157 goals, 54 points, with a points percentage of .450.
In the Rangers’ net, Igor Shesterkin is poised to perform. He has recorded 8,378 saves from 9,140 shots faced, achieving a save percentage of .917. Shesterkin has a career record of 180-100-28 over 311 games, with 306 of those being starts. He has logged 14,613 minutes on the ice, achieving a quality start rate of 63.1% through 193 quality starts. On average, opponents score 2.49 goals per game against him, totaling 762 goals allowed so far.
Who will clinch the victory in this NHL showdown? Will it be the Leafs or the Rangers against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Toronto
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