- Matchup: UMass Minutemen vs Missouri Tigers
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Venue: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
- Broadcast: ESPNU
- Betting Odds: Tigers favored by 43.5 points
- Total Points Line: 56.5
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The UMass Minutemen, currently at 0-3, will visit Memorial Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025, aiming to secure their first victory against the undefeated Missouri Tigers (4-0). UMass enters this contest as substantial underdogs, with a point spread set at 43.5. The game has an over/under total of 56.5 points.
UMass is struggling this season with an 0-3 record. In their most recent game, the Minutemen faced the Iowa Hawkeyes, suffering a defeat with a score of 47-7. Defensively, UMass allowed the Hawkeyes to rush for 201 yards on 40 carries, averaging 5.0 yards per rush. In terms of passing defense, the Minutemen permitted 21 completions out of 31 attempts, totaling 234 yards and a completion rate of 67.7%. Offensively, UMass conducted 49 plays for just 119 yards, with a disappointing rushing performance of 27 attempts for a mere 26 yards, averaging 1.0 yards per carry.
On the scoring front, the UMass Minutemen average 14.3 points per game. Their ground game is subpar, averaging just 76.7 yards per game, positioning them 131st in Division 1. Throughout the season, UMass has accumulated 779 total yards, with 4 rushing touchdowns and no touchdowns through the air. The team has gained 47 first downs while incurring 15 penalties for 135 yards and registering 3 turnovers.
In terms of defense, the Minutemen rank 130th nationally, surrendering an average of 38.7 points per game. They allow 4.6 yards per rush, translating to 157.7 rushing yards allowed each game, tallying up a total of 473 rushing yards in 3 contests. Regarding passing, they have yielded 828 yards, sitting 77th in collegiate football, allowing 276.0 passing yards per game with a completion rate of 62.0%. Overall, their total yardage given up is 433.7 per game, ranking them 124th in Division 1. They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air and 2 on the ground.
The Missouri Tigers step into this game with an unblemished record of 4-0 this season. In their last outing, they clinched a victory against the South Carolina Gamecocks with a score of 29-20. Defensively, the Tigers allowed 22 rushing attempts for -9 yards, averaging -0.4 yards per carry. In the passing game, Missouri faced a completion rate of 64.3%, giving up 302 yards on 18 of 28 passes. The Tigers collectively produced 456 yards over 75 plays, averaging 6.1 yards per play, and excelled in their rushing game with 285 yards on 48 attempts, averaging 5.9 yards per carry.
Missouri’s offense averages an impressive 554.3 yards per game, placing them 6th in the nation. The Tigers have committed 23 penalties, totaling 229 yards, ranking them 64th in Division 1 for mistakes. They average 298.0 rushing yards per game, having accumulated 1,192 rushing yards for the year. They have thrown 2 interceptions, allowed 1 fumble recovery, and accrued 114 first downs. In terms of scoring, Missouri ranks 10th in Division 1, scoring an average of 46.0 points per game. So far this season, the Tigers have amassed 1,025 yards in the air, averaging 256.3 passing yards per game, placing them 48th in Division 1.
On the defensive side, the Tigers concede an average of 16.8 points per game, ranking them 35th nationally. They have allowed 293 rushing yards this season (73.3 yards per game) alongside 2 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they have permitted 5 touchdown passes and average 150.5 passing yards allowed per game, which puts them in 19th place in the nation. Overall, Missouri’s defense, having participated in 197 plays, ranks 29th nationwide, with 1 fumble recovery and 2 interceptions recorded this season, yielding a total of 67 points.
Who will prevail in this intriguing matchup between the Minutemen and the Tigers?
Prediction: Back the Minutemen +43.5
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