- Matchup: UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos
- Event Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Broncos favored by (-4.5)
- Over/Under Total Points: 59
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On Friday, December 5, 2025, the Boise State Broncos (8-4) will host the UNLV Rebels (10-2) at Albertsons Stadium for the Mountain West Championship. The Broncos enter this game as 4.5-point favorites according to Las Vegas odds. The over/under for total points is set at 59.
This season, the UNLV Rebels have compiled an impressive record of 10-2. In their most recent matchup against the Nevada Wolf Pack, they secured a decisive 42-17 victory. The Rebels managed to rush the ball 33 times for a total of 226 yards, averaging an impressive 6.8 yards per carry. They executed 55 plays that resulted in 496 total yards. Defensively, UNLV allowed 23 completions out of 34 attempts for 148 yards, achieving a completion percentage of 67.6%. On the run defense front, they conceded 193 yards on 33 carries, allowing an average of 5.8 yards per rush.
The Rebels have generated a total of 5,560 yards throughout the season. In terms of scoring, UNLV has accumulated 23 passing touchdowns along with 30 rushing touchdowns while turning the ball over 14 times. As a cohesive unit, they have achieved 286 first downs, albeit facing 94 penalties resulting in 817 yards. They boast a commendable average of 204.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 17th in NCAA Division 1. In scoring, the UNLV Rebels average 37.2 points per game.
Defensively, the Rebels have given up 2,952 passing yards, placing them 113th in Division 1. They yield an average of 246.0 passing yards per game with a completion rate of 59.6%. Over the season, they are allowing 421.5 yards per game, ranking them 118th nationally. They have surrendered 20 touchdowns through the air and another 20 on the ground, with an average of 5.3 yards allowed per carry and 175.5 rushing yards per game. Overall, UNLV ranks 89th in team defense, allowing 28.1 points per game.
The Broncos come into this championship game with an 8-4 record for the season. In their last game, they secured a narrow victory against the Utah State Aggies, winning 25-24. Boise State finished that match with 512 total yards across 95 plays, averaging 5.4 yards per play. Their ground game averaged 3.7 yards per carry, totaling 171 yards on 46 attempts. Defensively, they allowed 34 rushing attempts that resulted in 221 yards (6.5 yards per carry), while their passing defense limited opponents to a completion percentage of 40.6%, ceding 184 yards on 13 completions out of 32 attempts.
Boise State averages 430.4 yards per game, which ranks them 27th in Division 1. This season, their offense has been penalized for a total of 782 yards on 88 infractions, putting them at 20th in Division 1 for giveaways. They average 189.8 rushing yards per game, with a total of 2,278 rushing yards. The Broncos have thrown 10 interceptions and lost 7 fumbles, while achieving 274 first downs. Scoring-wise, Boise State ranks 42nd in college football, averaging 30.8 points per game. They have amassed 2,887 passing yards this season, averaging 240.6 passing yards per game, ranking them 57th in the nation.
Defensively, the Broncos permit an average of 23.2 points per game, ranking them 55th overall. They have allowed a total of 1,948 rushing yards (162.3 yards/game) and 22 rushing touchdowns this season. In the passing game, Boise State has given up 12 touchdowns and 167.1 passing yards per game, placing them 11th nationally. The Broncos’ defense has faced 738 plays throughout the season, ranking them 21st in Division 1, and they have managed 7 fumbles and 14 interceptions.
Which team will prevail in this Rebels/Broncos showdown against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Broncos -4.5
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