- Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Venue: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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The highly anticipated game will see the Louisville Cardinals (12-4) facing off against the Virginia Cavaliers (14-2) this Tuesday at the KFC Yum! Center.
In their most recent outing, the Virginia Cavaliers achieved a solid victory over Stanford, finishing at 70-55. The Cavaliers committed 16 fouls while Stanford had 15. From beyond the arc, Virginia made 5 out of 26 attempts. Stanford shot 82.4% from the free-throw line, converting 14 of 17 attempts. Additionally, Stanford secured 26 rebounds (9 offensive, 17 defensive) but did not record any blocks. They tallied 9 assists and 7 steals. Defensively, Virginia restricted Stanford to 32.1% shooting from the floor on 18 of 56 attempts, while the Cavaliers had 17 assists, forced 7 turnovers, and collected 33 rebounds, including 11 offensive. From the charity stripe, Virginia was effective, making 14 of 17 shots for an 82.4% success rate, and concluded the match with a field goal percentage of 43.9% (25 out of 57), hitting 6 of their 22 three-point attempts.
Thijs De Ridder emerged as a standout player, shooting an impressive 72.7% from the field while contributing 2 assists. In 31 minutes of play, he gathered 3 rebounds and netted 22 points on 8 of 11 shooting.
This season, Virginia boasts a record of 14-2, averaging 10.7 turnovers and committing 18.9 personal fouls per game. The Cavaliers are securing 41.9 rebounds per game and have recorded 281 assists, ranking 61st in Division 1 for team assists. Virginia’s three-point shooting stands at 36.7% (164 of 447), and they are hitting 68.8% from the free throw line. They score an average of 85.1 points per game, placing them 49th in Division 1, while shooting 48.1% from the field.
On the defensive front, the Cavaliers force an average of 11.6 turnovers each game, while giving up 19.2 personal fouls. They rank 20th in the nation for lowest assists allowed, allowing 172 total assists this season. Virginia’s opponents shoot at a field goal percentage of 38.0% (358 of 942), and they allow 32.8 rebounds per game. Additionally, they limit teams to 28.8% from three-point range and rank 39th nationally in points allowed per game (66.8).
In their last game, the Louisville Cardinals secured a 75-62 victory over Boston College. Louisville allowed Boston College to grab 30 rebounds in total, including 6 offensive. The Cardinals hit 9 of 28 from beyond the arc (32.1%) and shot 7 of 16 from the charity stripe (43.8%). Boston College managed to sink 23 of 63 field attempt shots, resulting in a 36.5% shooting night. Louisville had a field goal percentage of 49.0%, converting 25 of 51 attempts. They made 6 of 21 three-point shots (28.6%) and hit 19 of their free throw attempts for a 76.0% success rate. Boston College committed 19 fouls, resulting in 25 attempts for the Cardinals at the free-throw line. Louisville turned the ball over 13 times and gathered 3 steals with 36 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds, amassing a total of 42 rebounds for the game.
Sananda Fru had a notable performance for the Cardinals, scoring 19 points in just 28 minutes of play, adding 1 assist, and shooting 88.9% from the field (8 of 9). He secured 13 rebounds, contributing significantly to the team’s success.
Louisville currently holds a record of 12-4 this season. The Cardinals typically commit 19.7 personal fouls per game and boast a free throw percentage of 77.3%. They average 17.8 assists per game, placing them 33rd nationally, with a turnover average of 11.8. Louisville has scored a total of 1,413 points this season (88.3 per game), securing an average of 42.0 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, they shoot 46.8% from the field, ranking 112th in college basketball.
Defensively, Louisville ranks 90th in Division 1 for points allowed, giving up an average of 69.6 points per game. They force their opponents into 12.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.3% from the floor (26th in Division 1). The Cardinals also limit opponents to a 31.5% success rate from beyond the arc (119 of 378), while teams convert 70.5% of their free throws against them. They allow an average of 11.0 assists and 33.6 rebounds per game, placing them 34th and 130th in Division 1, respectively.
Which team will prevail tonight in the NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Select Louisville
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