Vitor Petrino vs Thomas Petersen Prediction and Odds for UFC Rio on 10/11/2025

• Vitor Petrino vs Thomas Petersen: An Upcoming Showdown
• UFC Rio Event Details
• Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
• Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

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This clash features Vitor Petrino going head-to-head with Thomas Petersen at UFC Rio on Saturday, October 11, 2025. Initial betting odds place Petrino at -310 and Petersen at +260.

Vitor Petrino boasts a professional record of 12-2-0. At 28 years old, he weighs in at 265 lbs and stands 6’2″ tall with a reach of 77 inches. Thomas “The Train” Petersen, aged 30, measures 6’1″ and weighs 264 lbs, carrying a record of 10-3-0 with a reach of 74 inches. In statistical performance, Petrino averages 2.72 significant strikes landed per minute, while Petersen achieves 3.74. Petrino connects with his significant strikes at a rate of 45%, compared to Petersen’s 59%. Defensively, Petrino allows 2.60 significant strikes per minute against him, while Petersen absorbs 2.94. Petrino also blocks 47% of incoming strikes, while Petersen deflects 57%.

When it comes to takedown statistics, Petrino isn’t as proficient a wrestler, securing 3.25 takedowns per 3 rounds. He succeeds with 58% of his takedown attempts while defending against 71% of opponent takedowns. Petersen completes 66% of his takedown efforts and defends 100% of takedown attempts against him. Additionally, Petrino averages 1.0 submission attempts per 3 rounds, compared to Petersen’s 0.6 submissions.

In his most recent Octagon appearance, Vitor Petrino faced Austen Lane, winning by rear-naked choke in the first round. Lane delivered 3 of his 4 strikes successfully during the bout, while Petrino achieved 17 of 22 strikes. Specifically for significant strikes, Lane connected on 3 of 4 with a striking percentage of 75%. He did not land any significant strikes aimed at the head. In this match, Petrino effectively landed 50% of his significant strikes, hitting 3 of 6 attempts. He connected with 2 of 4 strikes aimed at the head, and all significant strikes from Lane and 33% from Petrino were recorded from a distance.

In his last fight, Thomas Petersen went up against Don’Tale Mayes and clinched a victory by unanimous decision in the third round. Mayes landed successfully on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from a distance, while Petersen managed only 3% of his significant strikes at a distance. Petersen landed 54% of his total significant strikes, achieving 28 out of 51 attempts. Mayes only connected on 3 out of 11 significant strikes during that fight, hitting 1 of 8 aimed at the head. In total strikes, Mayes connected on 13 out of 23 while Petersen landed 105 out of 166 total strikes he threw.

Noteworthy Bouts on the Card

One match not to miss features Lucas Rocha facing Stewart Nicoll. Rocha enters with a record of 17-2-0, weighs 125 lbs at 5’3″ and possesses a reach of 64 inches. Nicoll stands at 5’5″ with a weight of 125 lbs and holds an 8-1-0 record. In grappling, Rocha averages 0.00 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Nicoll completes 5.66 takedowns every 15 minutes. Striking stats show Rocha landing 2.00 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 44%, while Nicoll lands an average of 3.02 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 47%.

Another exciting matchup features Saimon Oliveira taking on Luan Lacerda. Lacerda comes in with a record of 12-3-0, weighing 135 lbs at 5’7″, while Oliveira holds a record of 18-6-0, weighing 135 lbs and standing at 5’4″. Lacerda has a takedown defense rate of 75%, completing takedowns successfully 25% of the time. In contrast, Oliveira’s takedown success rate stands at 25%, with a defense rate of 38%. In striking, Lacerda absorbs 7.07 strikes per minute against his 4.52 outbound strikes, while Oliveira absorbs 4.13 strikes and delivers 2.67 strikes.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match?

Prediction: Bet on Thomas Petersen (+260)