Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Forecast, 11/8/2025 NHL Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

• Matchup: Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
• Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
• Broadcast: WXPX-TV
• Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-210) Lightning (+172)

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On Saturday, the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-2) will host the Washington Capitals (7-5-1) at Amalie Arena. The Capitals enter as the favorites at -210, while the Lightning are listed at +172. The game total is set at 6.

The Washington Capitals recently celebrated a dominant 6-1 victory against the Blues, showcasing impressive offensive prowess. In that contest, they received 11 minutes in penalties and capitalized on 1 of 3 power play chances. Out of 32 shots on goal, they scored 6 times, indicating a strong offensive outing.

For the current season, the Washington Capitals have netted 37 goals (ranking 24th in the league) while conceding 29. They currently hold 15 points with a points percentage of .577. With 43 power play chances, they’ve successfully scored 7 goals, translating to a conversion rate of 16.28%. At even strength, the Capitals have scored 30 goals but have allowed their opponents 20. They’ve taken 380 shots with a shooting percentage of 9.7%, while their defense has faced 328 shots and boasts a save percentage of .912. Opponents have attempted 39 power plays against the Capitals (25th in the NHL), scoring 9 times in those situations.

Logan Thompson will guard the net for this matchup. Throughout his career, Thompson has faced 382 goals, yielding an average of 2.62 goals against per game. He’s played in 155 games, has a save percentage of .913 over 7,760 minutes, and holds a record of 93 wins, 41 losses, and 17 overtime losses. Thompson has achieved 91 quality starts, with a quality start percentage of .623, and has made 4,000 saves from 4,382 shots faced.

The Lightning’s previous outing resulted in a close 3-2 defeat against the Avalanche, where they scored 2 goals from 24 shots. Despite 3 power play opportunities, they failed to score.

With 347 shots taken (27th in the NHL), the Lightning have a shooting percentage of 10.66% and have allowed 373 shots against. They boast a penalty kill rate of 88.64%, having faced 44 opposing power plays, and have a save percentage of 90.3%. On the power play, they have scored 31 goals at even strength, contributing to a total of 37 goals and a points percentage of .538.

Expect to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal for Tampa Bay. He has made 14,989 saves on 16,348 shots, giving him a career save percentage of .917. Vasilevskiy has a record of 334-167-37 across 549 games, starting in 539 of those and racking up 28,642 minutes on the ice. His quality start percentage stands at 57.7% with 311 quality starts, while he has conceded a total of 1,359 goals, averaging 2.52 goals allowed per game.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s NHL showdown against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (+172)