- Matchup: Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday, October 27, 2025
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- Broadcasting: ABC
- Betting Odds: Chiefs favored by 12.5 points
- Total Points (Over/Under): 47
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The Washington Commanders (3-4) are heading to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (4-3). Kansas City starts this matchup as 12.5-point favorites, with the total set at 47 points.
The Washington Commanders enter this game with a season record of 3-4. Their most recent outing ended in a defeat against the Dallas Cowboys, finishing 44-22. Quarterback Jayden Daniels passed for 156 yards on 12 of 22 attempts, achieving 1 touchdown, and a quarterback rating of 92.2, avoiding interceptions. Receiver Robbie Chosen recorded 36 yards on 4 catches, averaging 9.0 yards per reception. On the ground, Jayden Daniels led the Commanders with 8 carries for 35 yards (4.4 yards per attempt). Overall, Washington executed 60 plays, totaling 341 yards. They rushed the ball 28 times, accumulating 136 yards at an average of 4.9 yards per carry. Defensively, the Commanders allowed 152 rushing yards on 31 attempts (4.9 yards per rush) and conceded 21 completions from 30 attempts for 257 yards, resulting in a completion percentage of 70.0%.
This season, the Commanders have amassed 2,415 total yards. They have recorded 64 first downs but have faced 53 penalties resulting in a loss of 429 yards. In terms of scoring, Washington has achieved 11 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns, with a total of 8 turnovers (3 interceptions and 5 fumbles lost). They are averaging 148.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 2nd overall in the league. The Commanders average 25.7 points per game.
Defensively, the Commanders have surrendered 1,668 passing yards, ranking them 27th in the league, allowing an average of 238.3 yards per game through the air with a completion percentage of 64.2%. Overall, they have allowed 882 rushing yards this season, giving up 12 touchdowns through the air and 5 on the ground. Their overall defensive performance has them positioned 27th, allowing an average of 364.3 yards per contest and 24.3 points per game, placing them 21st in the league for defense.
The Kansas City Chiefs enter this matchup with a 4-3 record this season. In their latest game, they achieved a decisive victory, defeating the Las Vegas Raiders 31-0. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 286 yards, completing 26 of 35 passes with 3 touchdowns and a passer rating of 126.6, also avoiding any interceptions. Isiah Pacheco contributed on the ground with 15 carries for 57 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Marquise Brown led the receiving corps with 2 receptions totaling 14 yards (7.0 yards per catch). The Chiefs managed to run for 152 yards on 41 attempts, averaging 3.7 yards per carry while generating a total of 434 yards from 76 plays (5.7 yards per play). Defensively, Kansas City allowed a completion rate of 66.7%, yielding 70 yards from 12 out of 18 passes, and gave up 25 rushing yards on 11 attempts (2.3 yards per carry).
The Chiefs average 370.6 yards per game, ranking 5th in the league. They average 123.4 rushing yards per game, totaling 864 rushing yards. With only 2 interceptions and no fumbles lost, they have secured 91 first downs. In terms of penalties, the Chiefs have committed 47 penalties, totaling 388 yards, ranking them 18th in the league for discipline. This season, the Chiefs have accrued 1,730 passing yards, averaging 247.1 yards per game, placing them 6th overall. They also rank 6th for scoring, averaging 26.6 points per game.
Defensively, they have allowed 7 passing touchdowns and an average of 174.6 passing yards per game, ranking 4th in the league. The Chiefs have conceded 740 rushing yards (105.7 yards per game) along with 6 rushing touchdowns this year. The defense has forced 7 turnovers, consisting of 3 fumbles and 4 interceptions, allowing a total of 124 points. With 371 plays run by the opposition, they rank 6th in overall defensive activity, allowing just 17.7 points per game, which is 3rd in the league.
Which team will claim victory in this Commanders-Chiefs NFL matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Take the Commanders +12.5
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