Matchup: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Washington (+150), Miami (-182)
The Miami Marlins (66-79) are hosting the Washington Nationals (60-84) at loanDepot park this Thursday. The betting line shows the Nationals at +150, while the Marlins stand at -182. The total over/under for this game is set at 8. Scheduled pitchers for the matchup are Brad Lord and Ryan Weathers.
The Washington Nationals are currently averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 19th in the league. With 623 total runs, they hold an on-base percentage (OBP) of .309. The team has recorded 238 doubles and 140 home runs, accumulating 600 RBIs and 1,180 hits, resulting in a batting average of .245. The Nationals’ slugging percentage is .392, and they have struck out 1,161 times while drawing 410 walks this season.
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The Nationals feature a K/BB ratio of 2.21 and their pitching staff boasts a WHIP of 1.43. As a team, their pitchers have allowed 189 home runs and 785 total runs (29th in the league). They’ve surrendered 1,308 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings), with 742 earned runs. Washington’s season ERA is 5.29, ranking 29th, with 1,101 strikeouts recorded. The pitching staff has issued 498 walks, while their FIP is 4.72.
This season, the Nationals have used 511 relievers, who have inherited 239 runners, with 38.9% of those scoring. They have achieved 31 saves out of 46 save opportunities, leading to a save percentage of 67.4%. Their relief corps has made 113 appearances in save situations, recording 66 holds (25th in MLB). Nationals relievers have faced runners on base 141 times and made 108 entries into high-leverage scenarios.
The Nationals have converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs over 11,370 innings, ranking them 27th in the league. The team has accumulated 3,790 putouts, with 1,229 assists and 78 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .985, which places them 21st in the majors. They have successfully executed 112 double plays.
Brad Lord, with a career record of 5-8, has a FIP of 4.14 over 457 batters faced. He has permitted 104 hits (averaging 8.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 39 walks. His ERA stands at 4.21 (51 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.311. With 109 innings pitched, Lord has recorded 92 strikeouts in his career.
The Miami Marlins have posted an on-base percentage of .314, alongside a batting average of .250 this year. They have struck out 1,133 times (26th in the league) and logged 1,236 hits. The Marlins have hit 138 home runs and driven in 597 runs. They maintain a slugging percentage of .393, averaging 4.33 runs per game (18th in baseball). The team has also recorded 243 doubles, garnered 437 walks, and scored a total of 628 runs.
On the pitching side, the Marlins have conceded 738 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.80 (685 earned runs). They’ve allowed 176 home runs and give up 5.17 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). Miami’s WHIP is 1.327 with a team FIP of 4.38. Their K/BB ratio is 7.90, with 1,135 strikeouts against 458 walks. The team is 22nd in the league in total hits allowed, having permitted 1,247 hits.
The Marlins’ bullpen has been called upon for 55 save opportunities, converting 35 saves, ranking 13th in MLB at a 63.6% success rate. They have utilized 452 bullpen pitchers this season and are faced with high leverage in 151 situations, bringing in 112 relievers when runners were on base. Miami’s inherited score rate is 32.7% from 165 inherited runners. They have 75 holds and 20 blown saves out of 132 save situations.
Throughout 11,568 innings, the Marlins have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in the league). Their fielding percentage is .986 (17th in the majors) with 96 double plays, 1,232 assists, and 74 errors recorded for a total of 3,856 putouts this season.
Ryan Weathers has a career record of 11-22, with an earned run average of 4.93, allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings. He holds a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and has faced 1,148 batters so far in his career. Weathers has given up 146 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.374 and a FIP of 4.9. Thus far, he has allowed 271 hits and tallied 221 strikeouts over 266 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game, either against the spread or moneyline?
Pick from Parlay’s Pundit: Bet on Miami (-182) and the under 8 runs
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