Matchup: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Washington (+172) New York (-210)
The Washington Nationals (62-91) are headed to Citi Field this Friday to challenge the New York Mets (78-74). The betting odds favor the Mets at -210, while the Nationals are positioned at +172. The total runs expected for this game is set at 8, with Andrew Alvarez and Brandon Sproat projected as the starting pitchers.
On average, the Washington Nationals generate 4.2 runs per game, placing them 25th in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have accumulated 647 runs so far this season, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .306. The Nationals have recorded 249 doubles and have hit 143 home runs, contributing to a total of 621 runs batted in and 1,243 hits, resulting in a batting average of .243. Their slugging percentage stands at .386, with 1,253 strikeouts and 425 walks.
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The Nationals maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.19, with a team WHIP of 1.44. This season, the pitching staff has allowed 198 home runs and a total of 842 runs (29th in MLB). Washington has surrendered 1,401 hits (9.4 per nine innings) and 796 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 5.33 (29th in the league), with 1,166 strikeouts. The pitching staff has issued 533 walks and has a FIP of 4.70 for the year.
Throughout the season, the Nationals have used 545 relief pitchers, with 254 inherited runners, of which 40.2% have scored. They have achieved 33 saves but failed on 18 of their 51 save opportunities, resulting in a relief pitching save rate of 64.7%. The bullpen has recorded 69 holds this year (25th in the league) while entering 121 save situations, including 151 instances with runners on base.
On the defensive front, the Washington Nationals have totaled 4,030 putouts, 1,318 assists, and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is .984, ranking 22nd in the majors, with 125 double plays executed. They convert 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs over 12,090 innings, ranking them 28th in the league.
Alvarez has pitched 15 innings, collecting 11 strikeouts during his career. With a perfect 1-0 record, he has a FIP of 1.17, having faced 62 batters with a 1.18 ERA (2 earned runs) and a WHIP of 0.855. He has permitted 7 hits (4.1 hits per nine innings) with 6 walks issued.
The New York Mets have achieved a team slugging percentage of .429, averaging 4.71 runs per game (11th in baseball). They recorded 247 doubles and have walked 529 times while scoring 716 runs. The team has hit 211 home runs and driven in 698 runs. They have struck out 1,239 times (22nd in the league) and accumulated 1,276 hits, resulting in an OBP of .327 and a batting average of .250.
New York’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.337 and a FIP of 3.94. They are 17th in the league for hits allowed, totaling 1,262. The Mets have allowed 668 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.03 (601 earned runs). They possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.70 (1,295 strikeouts versus 534 walks), giving up 140 home runs and allowing 4.48 runs per nine innings (19th in MLB).
The Mets have been in 157 save situations, achieving 92 holds and suffering 27 blown saves. Their bullpen has been called upon in 65 save opportunities, converting 38 saves. They have appeared in high-leverage situations 178 times, including 162 appearances with runners on base. The inherited scoring rate for their bullpen stands at 34.7% from 242 inherited runners, ranking them 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 58.5%. This season, they have used 495 relievers.
With 12,087 innings played, the Mets have recorded a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in MLB), executed 115 double plays, and have a .987 fielding percentage (9th in baseball). They’ve made 1,374 assists, had 70 errors, and achieved a total of 4,029 putouts.
Sproat, in his MLB career, has surrendered 9 hits and amassed 10 strikeouts over 12 innings pitched. He has allowed 3 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.083 with a FIP of 2.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.50, having faced 47 batters with a career record of 0-1 and an ERA of 2.25, allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup? Will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Washington (+172)
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