Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves Prediction for 9/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves Prediction for 9/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
  • Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves
  • Schedule: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
  • Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
  • Betting Odds: Washington (+172) Atlanta (-210)

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The Washington Nationals (64-92) are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves (73-83) at Truist Park this Tuesday. The moneyline for this matchup pegs the Nationals at +172 while the Braves are favored at -210, with an over/under line set at 8. Starting pitchers for this game include Brad Lord and Hurston Waldrep.

mlb predictions Ozzie Albies Atlanta Braves odds and picks

As for their batting performance, the Nationals are currently sitting with a slugging percentage of .386 and have struck out 1,275 times while earning 430 walks. So far, they have achieved 629 RBIs alongside 1,258 hits this season, yielding a team batting average of .242. The Nationals have recorded 252 doubles and launched 145 home runs, accumulating a total of 658 runs scored with a team on-base percentage of .305. They are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 21st in league standings.

On the pitching side, the Nationals have posted an earned run average (ERA) of 5.34 this season (29th in the league), with their pitchers striking out 1,185 batters. The staff has surrendered 199 home runs, contributing to a total of 857 runs allowed (29th overall). They’ve walked 540 batters and have a collective fielding independent pitching (FIP) of 4.68. Washington has given up 1,425 hits (an average of 9.4 hits per 9 innings) and 809 earned runs, giving them a strikeout-to-walk (K/BB) ratio of 2.19, with a WHIP of 1.44.

This season, Nationals’ relief pitchers have a save rate of 64.2%, appearing in 125 save situations. They’ve inherited 258 runners, with 40.3% crossing home plate. The relievers have faced runners on base 156 times, including 126 instances in high-pressure situations. Altogether, the Nationals have used 555 relievers so far this season, achieving 71 holds (ranked 25th in the league) and converting 34 saves out of 53 attempts.

Defensively, the Nationals have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs across their 12,261 innings, placing them 29th overall. They’ve recorded 4,087 putouts, 1,344 assists, and 90 errors, which contributes to a fielding percentage of .984, ranking them 25th in Major League Baseball, with 128 double plays executed.

In terms of Brad Lord, he has pitched for 120 innings, striking out 100 hitters throughout his career, with an ERA of 4.19 (allowing 56 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.306. He has permitted 117 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and issued 40 walks, holding a career record of 5-8 and a FIP of 4.13 after encountering 504 batters in professional play.

Shifting focus to the Braves, they have a slugging percentage of .397, scoring an average of 4.47 runs per game (14th in MLB). The team has achieved 234 doubles, with 541 walks, and accumulated 693 runs so far. Atlanta has hit 179 home runs this year, adding up to 671 RBIs, while their strikeouts tally stands at 1,310 (13th in the league) with 1,293 total hits. Their on-base percentage is .319, and their team batting average rests at .245.

The Braves pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 4.20. They are ranked 17th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,284 hits given up and 708 runs allowed this season, leading to an ERA of 4.39 (670 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is impressive at 8.90 (1,353 strikeouts against 507 walks). The staff has allowed 187 home runs, yielding an average of 4.63 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

Atlanta’s relief pitching unit has been put to the test in 52 save opportunities, successfully converting 31 saves, ranking them 21st with a save percentage of 59.6%. They’ve called upon 497 relievers this year, with 164 high-leverage appearances and 155 instances with runners on base. Atlanta relievers have inherited a total of 210 runners, with a scoring percentage of 39.5%. In 117 save situations, they’ve notched 65 holds along with 21 blown saves.

Defensively, the Braves have completed their 12,375 innings with a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in MLB). They have turned 100 double plays this season and possess a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 2nd in MLB. The Braves have recorded 1,307 assists, made only 53 errors, and accomplished 4,125 putouts this year.

Hurston Waldrep, sporting a career record of 5-2, has an ERA of 4.73 while allowing an average of 7.7 hits per nine innings. With a K/BB ratio of 2.04, he has faced 240 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 30 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.313 and a FIP of 4.7. Throughout his career, Waldrep has given up 49 hits while tallying 53 strikeouts in 57 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?

Pick: Back Atlanta (-210) and bet under 8 runs

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Pick: Atlanta (-210) & under 8
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