- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
- Betting Odds: Washington (+110) Atlanta (-130)
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On Wednesday, the Atlanta Braves (74-83) will face off against the Washington Nationals (64-93) at Truist Park. The current betting line has Washington at +110 while Atlanta stands at -130. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, featuring starting pitchers Andrew Alvarez and Bryce Elder.
The Nationals have amassed 254 doubles and 148 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .386, they’ve struck out 1,296 times while drawing 433 walks. Averaging 4.2 runs per game, Washington is positioned 22nd in Major League Baseball. They’ve recorded a total of 636 RBIs and 1,275 hits, with a team batting average of .243. Overall, they have scored 666 runs, complementing it with an on-base percentage of .305.
The Nationals have an overall team ERA of 5.36 this year, ranking them 29th in the league. The pitching staff has totaled 1,200 strikeouts while conceding 201 home runs and 870 runs (also 29th in MLB). With 551 walks issued, their FIP stands at 4.69. Washington has allowed 1,447 hits (an average of 9.4 per 9 innings), along with 822 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and a team WHIP of 1.45.
Nationals pitchers have entered games with runners on base 161 times, including 128 high-leverage situations. Their bullpen has compiled 71 holds this season (25th in MLB), achieving a 64.8% save rate in 126 save opportunities—collecting 35 saves and conceding 19 blown saves. This relief corps has inherited 268 base runners this year, with 39.9% scoring. Throughout the season, the Nationals have utilized 561 relief pitchers.
Defensively, the Nationals have recorded 4,138 putouts, 1,360 assists, and 90 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .984, placing them 24th in professional baseball. They have turned 130 double plays, converting 67.9% of balls in play into outs over 12,414 innings, ranking 29th among MLB teams.
Andrew Alvarez has pitched 19 innings in his MLB career, striking out 15 batters. With a career record of 1-1, Alvarez boasts a FIP of 2.80 and has faced 80 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.84 (allowing 6 earned runs) and his WHIP stands at 1.105, having allowed 14 hits (6.6 per 9 innings) and issuing 7 walks.
The Braves have tallied 181 home runs and 688 RBIs this season. They have 238 doubles, drawn 557 walks, and scored 710 runs. Atlanta holds an on-base percentage of .321 with a .246 team batting average this year. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .399 and average 4.52 runs per game, placing them 13th in MLB. They have struck out 1,325 times (ranking 13th) and accumulated 1,318 hits.
Atlanta’s pitching staff maintains a team WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.20 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is a commendable 8.90 (1,372 strikeouts to 515 walks). Currently, they rank 20th in baseball for total hits allowed, with 1,303, conceding 189 home runs and an average of 4.62 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Braves’ team ERA stands at 4.37, leading to 715 runs allowed this season (677 earned runs).
Atlanta’s bullpen has inherited 39.0% of 213 base runners. Their relief pitchers have entered 165 high-leverage situations and 157 instances with runners on base. Out of 123 save situations, the Braves have secured 70 holds and tallied 21 blown saves, positioning them 21st in save rate at 60.4%. Altogether, they have called on relief pitchers for 53 saves, achieving 32 saves this year.
Over 12,537 innings played, the Braves boast a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in MLB). They have recorded 102 double plays, maintaining a .990 fielding percentage (2nd in professional baseball), with 1,320 assists, 53 errors, and 4,179 putouts this season.
Pitcher Bryce Elder, with a career record of 24-23, has a 4.59 ERA, yielding 9.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.24, having faced 1,838 batters throughout his professional career. He has allowed 218 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.365, and a FIP of 4.5. Elder has given up 429 hits while amassing 345 strikeouts in 427 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB matchup, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Atlanta (-130) and the total under 8.5 runs
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