- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcasting: Padres.TV
- Betting Odds: Washington (+132) San Diego (-160)
The Washington Nationals (31-44) are headed to Petco Park on Monday for a face-off against the San Diego Padres (40-34). The betting line has Washington at +132 and San Diego at -160. The total run line is set at 8, with Mitchell Parker and Stephen Kolek scheduled to pitch.
This season, Washington has a slugging percentage of .383 and has recorded 556 strikeouts alongside 210 walks. Their 294 RBIs complement a total of 595 hits, contributing to a .239 batting average. The Nationals have achieved 122 doubles and launched 72 home runs, amassing 310 runs and holding a team on-base percentage of .306. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, they rank 21st across Major League Baseball.
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The Nationals’ pitching staff has registered an earned run average (ERA) of 4.91 this season, placing them 26th in MLB. With 596 strikeouts under their belt, they’ve allowed 85 home runs and 380 total runs. Their staff has issued 247 walks, and their FIP stands at 4.27. Washington has surrendered 666 hits for an average of 9.1 hits per nine innings, along with 361 earned runs. The pitchers have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.41 and a collective WHIP of 1.38.
This season, 256 relievers have taken the mound for the Nationals. These relief pitchers have inherited 138 runners, with 39.1% scoring. The team has 19 saves but has blown 10 out of 29 save opportunities. Washington’s bullpen has a save rate of 65.5%, appearing in 61 save situations, and accumulating 32 holds (28th in MLB). They have entered games with runners on base 80 times and have made 60 cameos in high-leverage situations.
Washington’s defense has converted 68.3% of balls in play into outs over 5,958 innings, ranking 23rd in MLB. The team boasts 1,986 putouts, 628 assists, and 39 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in professional baseball), along with a total of 54 double plays.
Parker, with an 11-18 career record, has a FIP of 4.33 while facing 990 batters in the majors. Allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings, he has given up 229 hits and issued 74 walks. His career ERA is 4.40 (113 earned runs allowed), and his WHIP is 1.311 after pitching 231 innings, with a sum of 191 strikeouts.
The Padres have a slugging percentage of .379 and score an average of 4.22 runs per game, putting them 18th in the league. They have achieved 111 doubles, drawn 230 walks, and scored 312 runs. With 63 home runs, they also recorded 288 RBIs. This season, San Diego has struck out 527 times (28th in the league) while achieving a total of 614 hits and maintaining a .249 batting average with a .315 on-base percentage.
San Diego’s pitching staff has amassed a WHIP of 1.224 and a FIP of 3.84. They rank 5th in MLB for the fewest hits allowed, giving up a total of 553 hits and 291 runs (3.60 ERA). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.90, with 646 strikeouts against 248 walks. The team has permitted 74 home runs, yielding an average of 4.00 runs per game (11th in MLB).
In 84 save situations, the Padres have secured 49 holds and experienced 9 blown saves. Their relievers have been called upon in 34 save attempts, converting 25 into saves. The bullpen has made 105 appearances in high-leverage scenarios and has dealt with base runners on 84 occasions. San Diego ranks 5th in the league with a save rate of 73.5%, having sent 263 relievers to the mound this year.
Throughout 5,892 innings played, San Diego exhibits a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in MLB). The team has achieved 55 double plays and maintains a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in the majors), with 560 assists, 38 errors, and 1,964 putouts this season.
Kolek, in his MLB tenure, has allowed 108 hits and recorded 76 strikeouts over 98 innings. He has given up 48 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.413 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.45, facing 433 hitters in his baseball career. Kolek has a career record of 6-2 and an ERA of 4.39, allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings.
Will the outcome of tonight’s game favor the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back San Diego (-160)
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