Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Analysis, 7/25/2025 WNBA Forecast, Advice and Betting Odds

Home » Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Analysis, 7/25/2025 WNBA Forecast, Advice and Betting Odds

Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty

Scheduled Date: Friday, July 25, 2025

Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

Broadcast: YouTube TV

The New York Liberty (16-6) are set to take on the Phoenix Mercury (15-7) at the Barclays Center this Friday.

In their most recent outing, the Phoenix Mercury faced off against the Atlanta Dream, suffering a defeat with a score of 90-79. Phoenix posted a field goal percentage of 38.8% (26 of 67) and converted 11 of their 30 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they succeeded on 16 of 21 shots, translating to a shooting percentage of 76.2%. On the boards, the Mercury collected 32 rebounds, including 5 on the offensive end. They also recorded 18 assists and forced Atlanta into 8 turnovers, while snatching 5 steals. Defensively, Phoenix allowed their opponents to shoot 50.0%, with Atlanta hitting 34 of 68 attempts. Atlanta managed 4 assists and 5 steals in the match, grabbing a total of 36 rebounds (4 offensive, 32 defensive) and blocking 4 shots. They shot 80.0% from the charity stripe (12 of 15) and made 10 of 24 three-pointers.

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DeWanna Bonner made a notable contribution in this game, scoring 18 points on 5 of 11 shooting. She played 25 minutes and added 2 rebounds, maintaining a 45.5% shooting rate from the field along with 1 assist.

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The Mercury come into this matchup with a record of 15-7 this season. They average 12.6 turnovers a game and commit about 18.8 personal fouls per contest. The team secures an average of 34.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 463 assists, ranking 8th in the league for passing. Phoenix’s shooting from beyond the arc stands at 34.5% (219 of 635) while they maintain a free throw percentage of 77.6%. They average 83.4 points per game (5th in the WNBA) with an overall shooting percentage of 43.3%. On defense, the Mercury force 15.7 turnovers each game and are called for an average of 17.0 fouls. They allow an opponent field goal percentage of 42.2% (346 of 375) and permit 35.4 rebounds per contest. Presently, they rank 2nd in the league for assists allowed, with 429 given up this season. Their perimeter defense enables opponents to shoot 33.2%, while they rank 6th in the league for points allowed per game at 79.3.

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The New York Liberty clinched a victory over the Indiana Fever in their last game, finishing with a score of 98-84. The Liberty secured 30 defensive rebounds along with 4 offensive boards, totaling 34 rebounds in the game. They committed 19 turnovers but also registered 9 steals. The Fever committed 22 personal fouls, leading to 21 free throw attempts for New York, of which they made 20 for an impressive 95.2% conversion rate. From the three-point line, New York hit 12 of their 22 attempts (54.5%). Overall, they shot 33 out of 64 from the field for a shooting rate of 51.6%. Meanwhile, the Fever managed to shoot 31 of 74 from the field, resulting in a 41.9% shooting percentage. Indiana shot 30.3% from the three-point range (10 of 33) and went 12 of 14 at the free-throw line (85.7%). In terms of rebounding, New York allowed Indiana to grab 30 total rebounds (6 offensive).

Jonquel Jones had a significant influence on the Liberty’s performance, shooting 5 out of 13 for a 38.5% field goal rate and contributing 9 rebounds. She accumulated 18 points in her 23 minutes of play, alongside 2 assists.

This season, New York boasts a 16-6 win-loss record. Offensively, the Liberty are shooting 45.4% from the field, placing them 3rd in the WNBA. They have accumulated 1,922 points this season (averaging 87.4 points per game) and securing 34.6 rebounds per contest. Their assist rate stands at 21.8 per game (2nd in the league), and they average 13.0 turnovers per game. The Liberty average 16.9 fouls per game while achieving a free throw percentage of 83.0%. Defensively, they rank 7th in the WNBA for points allowed per game at 79.4. They force 14.5 turnovers each game and allow opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field (3rd in the league). Additionally, New York limits opponents to a 31.9% shooting rate from beyond the arc (191 of 598), while their opponents convert 74.1% of their free throw attempts. They allow 19.8 assists and 36.0 rebounds per game, ranking 8th and 11th in the WNBA, respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Phoenix

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