Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Forecast, 12/5/2025 Analysis and Selection

Home » Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Forecast, 12/5/2025 Analysis and Selection

  • Matchup: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic
  • Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
  • Venue: Kia Center, Orlando, FL
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

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This Friday, the Orlando Magic (13-9) will take on the Miami Heat (14-8) at the Kia Center.

NBA Predictions for Miami Heat and Kel'el Ware Odds

In their previous game, the Heat faced the Mavericks, ultimately losing with a score of 118-108. The Heat committed 13 personal fouls while the Mavericks had 15. Miami successfully converted 16 of their 32 attempts from beyond the arc. Dallas ended up hitting 10 of 12 free throws, finishing the game at 83.3% from the stripe. Additionally, Dallas secured 50 rebounds, including 10 offensive boards while recording 5 blocks and dishing out 31 assists, along with 6 steals. On the defensive side, Miami allowed the Mavericks to shoot 50.5%, making 46 of their 91 attempts. Miami contributed 29 assists, forced 15 turnovers, and achieved 11 steals while securing a total of 41 rebounds, 14 of which were offensive. From the charity stripe, the Heat converted 17 of 18, achieving a 94.4% success rate. Overall, Miami wound up with a field goal percentage of 39.6% (40 of 101) and hit 11 of their 37 three-point attempts.

Kel’el Ware made a significant impact in the previous game, shooting an impressive 72.7% from the field and contributing 2 assists. He logged 25 minutes on the court, collected 10 rebounds, and scored 22 points on 8 of 11 shooting.

The Heat come into this matchup with a record of 14-8 for the season. They average 123.6 points per game, ranking second in the league, and shoot 47.9% from the field. Miami has been consistent from beyond the arc, hitting 37.8% of their three-point attempts (298 of 789) and 79.9% from the free throw line. As a cohesive unit, they collect 46.0 rebounds per game and have tallied 665 assists this season, also ranking second in the NBA for assists. However, they turn the ball over 14.3 times per game and average 20.2 personal fouls.

On the defensive front, the Heat are forcing 16.0 turnovers per game while committing 20.8 personal fouls. They currently sit 24th in the league for assists allowed, having yielded 596 assists over the season. The Miami defense allows a shooting percentage of 44.2% (939 out of 2,126) and concedes 49.1 rebounds per game. They also allow 32.6% on three-point attempts and rank 22nd in the NBA for points per game allowed at 118.4.

The Magic were recently defeated by the Spurs, with a close final score of 114-112. In that game, they gathered 38 defensive rebounds alongside 10 offensive boards, totaling 48 rebounds. Orlando had 10 turnovers and secured 11 steals. The Spurs committed 20 fouls, earning the Magic 19 free throw attempts, of which they converted 13 for a success rate of 68.4%. Orlando managed 9 three-pointers out of 27 attempts (33.3%), and finished the game shooting 45.5% (45 of 99) from the field. The Magic allowed the Spurs to shoot 46.2% from the floor (42 of 91) and ended with a three-point shooting percentage of 34.2%, making 13 out of 38. They concluded the game with a free throw percentage of 70.8%, converting 17 of 24 attempts. On the rebounding front, they allowed San Antonio to grab 52 rebounds in total (13 on the offensive end).

Franz Wagner was a standout for the Magic, scoring 25 points during his 36 minutes on the court and providing 6 assists. He achieved a shooting percentage of 52.9% by making 9 out of 17 shots and also grabbed 4 rebounds.

Currently, Orlando holds a record of 13-9 for the season. They average 21.4 personal fouls per game and maintain an 80.5% free throw percentage. Their assist average is 25.6 per game, ranking 21st in the league, while they commit 14.7 turnovers per game. So far, the Magic have accumulated 2,622 points this season (119.2 points per game) and retrieve an average of 45.0 rebounds per game. Offensively, they shoot 47.6% from the floor, ranking 12th in the league.

Defensively, the Magic rank 10th in points per game allowed, conceding 114.3. They manage to force 16.1 turnovers per game while allowing opponents to shoot 47.3% from the field (ranking 18th in the league). Orlando’s defense concedes 36.7% from three-point range (262 of 714) and allows opponents to hit 77.6% of their free throws. They yield an average of 24.0 assists and 41.9 total rebounds per game, ranking 3rd and 9th in the league, respectively.

Which team will prevail in tonight’s NBA battle against the spread?

Pick: Choose Orlando

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Pick: Orlando Magic Forecast
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