Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Preview, 7/27/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+150) Cincinnati (-182)

The Tampa Bay Rays (53-50) are set to compete against the Cincinnati Reds (53-50) at Great American Ball Park this Sunday. The current betting odds position Tampa Bay at +150, while Cincinnati stands at -182. The total runs for the game are projected at 8.5. The starters for this matchup are Shane Baz and Brady Singer.

The Tampa Bay Rays currently average 4.7 runs per game, ranking them 9th in the league. They have tallied 483 runs with an on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the Rays have hit 158 doubles and 113 home runs, earning a total of 453 RBIs along with 895 hits this season, leading to a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage is at .406, with 851 strikeouts and 314 walks recorded.

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With a K/BB ratio of 2.98, the Rays’ pitching staff possesses a WHIP of 1.20. They have allowed 135 home runs and a total of 419 runs (10th in the league). The Rays have granted 815 hits (8.0 per 9 innings), resulting in 392 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 3.85 this season (12th in the league), yielding 854 strikeouts and 287 walks. The season has seen the Rays’ relievers boasting a save rate of 57.5% across 98 save opportunities. They have inherited 108 runners, with a scoring rate of 36.1%. In high leverage situations, the Rays’ bullpen has taken the mound 95 times this season. Overall, the bullpen has recorded 57 holds (15th in the league) and has converted 23 saves, failing to close out 17 of 40 save opportunities.

The Tampa Bay Rays have achieved 2,750 putouts this season, along with 931 assists and 47 errors, translating to a fielding percentage of .987—placing them 9th in the MLB. They have also turned 100 double plays and converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs over their 8,250 innings, ranking 4th in baseball.

Pitcher Shane Baz has amassed 233 innings, resulting in 228 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 15-11, Baz has a FIP of 3.95 after facing 965 batters and an ERA of 4.01 (allowing 104 earned runs). His WHIP is 1.188, and he has given up 196 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) along with 81 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .246 this season. They have struck out 881 times (11th in MLB) and recorded 850 hits. The Reds have achieved 107 home runs and 441 RBIs, maintaining a team slugging percentage of .394 with an average of 4.56 runs per game (12th in the league). They have hit 163 doubles while walking 341 times and scoring 470 runs.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.245 and a FIP of 4.14. They rank 8th in the league for total hits allowed at 808. The Reds have given up 435 runs this season, contributing to a team ERA of 3.91 (395 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.30 (837 strikeouts vs. 323 walks) with 118 home runs allowed and an average of 4.31 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB).

The Reds’ bullpen has been called upon in 35 save opportunities, successfully completing 24 of those. They rank 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.6%, having utilized 346 relievers this season. Their relievers have entered in high leverage situations 88 times, and with runners on base 85 times. Thus far, Cincinnati’s bullpen shows a 34.3% inherited scoring rate with 134 inherited runners. Out of 100 save situations, the team has achieved 63 holds and 11 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have committed 52 errors, recorded 779 assists, and completed 2,726 putouts, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in baseball). Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.3% (6th in the majors) over 8,178 innings played.

Over the course of his professional career, Brady Singer has given up 795 hits, recording 738 strikeouts across 787 innings pitched. With a win-loss record of 43-52, Singer has a 4.36 ERA and allows an average of 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 381 earned runs, achieved a WHIP of 1.335, and maintains a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 2.88 after facing 3,378 opposing hitters throughout his career.

Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Prediction by Tony Sink: Back Cincinnati (-182)

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