Prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Broadcast: YES Network

Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-122) New York (+102)

The New York Yankees (56-46) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (58-44) to Yankee Stadium this Sunday. The current moneyline indicates the Phillies at -122 while the Yankees are positioned at +102. The total runs over/under is set at 9. Starting on the mound are Zack Wheeler for the Phillies and Carlos Rodon for the Yankees.

This season, the Phillies have recorded 161 doubles and hit 115 home runs. Sportingly, they maintain a slugging percentage of .408, striking out 809 times while drawing 349 walks. As a collective, the Phillies score an average of 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league. They have accumulated 446 RBIs and 880 hits, with an overall batting average of .254. Additionally, the team has scored 469 runs and holds a .327 on-base percentage.

Explore all of our MLB Parlay Picks

On the pitching front, the Phillies boast a team ERA of 3.71 (8th in MLB) and have struck out 952 batters this season. They have relinquished 106 home runs and a total of 406 runs (ranking 7th in the league). Their pitchers have issued 297 walks and possess a FIP of 3.60. Overall, Philadelphia has allowed 843 hits, averaging 8.3 hits per 9 innings, and has given up 375 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.21. The pitching staff features a collective WHIP of 1.25.

This season, Phillies pitchers have entered games with runners on base 67 times and appeared in 110 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has managed 45 holds (25th in MLB), a save percentage of 61.4%, and has entered 90 save scenarios. Out of 44 save opportunities, they have converted 27 saves but have also blown 17. So far, 316 relievers have taken the mound for the Phillies this year.

Defensively, the Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls put in play into outs over 8,193 innings, which places them 24th in the league. They have accumulated 2,731 putouts, 882 assists, and committed 38 errors. The team holds a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 3rd in MLB, and has completed 71 double plays.

Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has thrown 1,706 career innings, racking up 1,789 strikeouts with a career record of 112-73. His FIP stands at 3.22, yielding an ERA of 3.27 over 6,992 batters faced. With 1,454 hits allowed (7.7 per 9 innings) and 483 walks issued, Wheeler has established a WHIP of 1.135.

The Yankees, in comparison, have hit 163 home runs and tallied 509 RBIs this season. They have also recorded 179 doubles, walked 390 times, and scored 530 runs. With a team OBP of .333 and a batting average of .254, the Yankees have a slugging percentage of .454 and average 5.20 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have struck out 890 times (8th in the league), with 880 total hits.

This season, the Yankees carry a team WHIP of 1.233 and a FIP of 3.95, ranking first in total hits allowed with 765. They’ve given up 424 runs, resulting in a 3.89 team ERA (389 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (896 strikeouts vs. 345 walks) and they have allowed 110 home runs while yielding 4.24 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

In save opportunities, the Yankees boast 56 holds and 11 blown saves from 95 situations. Their relievers have realized 27 saves out of 38 save opportunities. In high-leverage situations, they have made 96 appearances, entered 110 scenarios with runners on base, and achieved a 25.9% inherited scoring rate out of 166 inherited runners. Their save percentage of 71.1% ranks 3rd in the league, with a total of 335 bullpen pitchers used this season.

Defensively, the Yankees have executed 65 double plays and own a .986 fielding percentage, ranking 20th among all MLB teams. They have recorded 864 assists, committed 52 errors, and notched 2,702 putouts this year, holding a defensive efficiency of 71.3% over 8,106 innings (5th in MLB).

In his career, Carlos Rodon has given up 1,038 hits, achieving 1,345 strikeouts over 1,210 innings pitched. With a career record of 85-70, he carries a 3.78 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. His WHIP stands at 1.229, with a FIP of 3.70 and a K/BB ratio of 2.99, having faced 5,094 batters throughout his time in MLB.

Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (-122)

Claim $60 in FREE premium member picks. No Obligation, No Salesman, No Credit Card Required. Quick Sign-up for Immediate Access! Click Here