Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Preview, 7/27/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Broadcast: NESN

Betting Odds: Los Angeles (-145) Boston (+125)

This Sunday, Fenway Park will host an exciting matchup as the Boston Red Sox (55-49) face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (60-43). The betting odds are set with the Dodgers at -145 and the Red Sox at +125, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers are expected to be Dustin May and Walker Buehler.

The Dodgers have successfully hit 166 doubles and launched 157 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .444, they have struck out 854 times while drawing 371 walks. Averaging 5.3 runs per game, the Dodgers currently lead the league. They’ve tallied 526 RBIs and 893 hits this season, holding a batting average of .254 and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .329.

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The Dodgers hold an ERA of 4.28 this season, placing them 23rd in the league, with 908 strikeouts issued by their pitching staff. They’ve allowed 128 home runs and 480 runs total (also 23rd in baseball). This season, the Dodgers’ pitchers have walked 365 hitters and their FIP stands at 4.27. They’ve given up 854 base hits (averaging 8.4 per 9 innings) along with 438 earned runs, recording a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.32.

Dodgers pitchers have faced batters with runners on base 92 times and appeared in 107 high-pressure situations. The bullpen leads the league with 76 holds. Their save percentage is at 65.2%, with 126 save opportunities resulting in 30 successful saves and 16 blown saves out of 46 attempts. This season, the relievers have inherited 142 base runners, with 27.5% scoring. Overall, the Dodgers’ pitching staff has utilized 375 relief pitchers this year.

The Los Angeles defense has achieved 2,761 putouts, 881 assists, and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .986, ranking them 15th in MLB, with 73 double plays executed. The Dodgers have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs across 8,283 innings, placing them 18th in major league baseball.

Dustin May has pitched 290 innings throughout his MLB career, accumulating 266 strikeouts. He holds an ERA of 3.66 (with 118 earned runs allowed) and maintains a career WHIP of 1.158. He has allowed 236 base hits (averaging 7.3 hits per nine innings) and has issued 100 walks. With an 18-15 record, May’s FIP is 3.60, facing 1,201 batters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .427, scoring an average of 4.90 runs per game, ranking 5th in the league. They have hit 209 doubles, recorded 337 walks, and racked up 510 runs. With 129 home runs and 489 RBIs this season, they have struck out 948 times (3rd in the league) and achieved 902 hits. The Red Sox possess an OBP of .322 alongside a batting average of .252.

Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 456 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.79 (allowing 392 earned runs). They have surrendered 104 home runs and give up 4.41 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Red Sox’s WHIP is 1.292, with a FIP of 3.91 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40 (865 strikeouts vs. 337 walks), ranking 23rd in total hits allowed with 866.

The Boston bullpen has a 33.3% inherited scoring rate out of 138 inherited base runners. They have made 131 high-leverage appearances and have faced runners on base 105 times. With 104 save opportunities, the Red Sox have tallied 55 holds but have also experienced 20 blown saves, placing them 23rd in save conversion rate at 57.4%. Boston has utilized 338 relief pitchers this season and earned 27 saves in 47 save chances.

Over 8,385 innings, the Red Sox’s defensive efficiency is at 68.8% (25th in professional baseball). Their defense has turned 86 double plays with a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in pro baseball). They have registered 962 assists, 82 errors, and 2,795 putouts this season.

Walker Buehler has allowed 681 hits throughout his MLB career, recording 821 strikeouts in 798 innings. With a career record of 53-28, Buehler holds a 3.53 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 313 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.136 and FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.63, having faced 3,283 batters throughout his professional baseball career.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest, whether against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Recommendation: Bet on Los Angeles (-145)

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