- Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: FOX
- Odds-Point Spread: Broncos favored by 3 points
- Over/Under Total: 46.5
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This exciting clash features the Denver Broncos (12-2) facing off against the Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) at Empower Field at Mile High this Sunday. The Broncos enter as 3-point favorites according to Vegas odds, with the total set at 46.5 points.
The Jacksonville Jaguars bring a solid 10-4 record into this contest. In their previous game, they triumphed over the New York Jets with a commanding score of 48-20. Leading the Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence showcased his skills with 5 rushing attempts for 51 yards (averaging 10.2 yards per carry). Receiver Jakobi Meyers recorded an impressive 71 yards on 5 receptions, averaging 14.2 yards per catch. Lawrence completed 20 of 32 passes for a remarkable 330 yards and 5 touchdowns, achieving a quarterback rating of 136.7 without any interceptions. Defensively, the Jaguars allowed 130 rushing yards on 32 attempts (4.1 yards per carry) and permitted 22 completions out of 33 attempts, totaling 154 yards with a completion rate of 66.7%. Overall, Jacksonville executed 59 plays for 438 total yards, with a rushing output of 27 attempts for 108 yards (4.0 yards per carry).
To date, the Jaguars have amassed 4,700 total yards this season. They have achieved 155 first downs while facing 117 penalties for a total of 985 yards. In terms of scoring, Jacksonville has generated 23 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns but has also turned the ball over 16 times (11 interceptions and 5 fumbles). They average 120.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 16th in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Jaguars register an impressive 26.9 points per game.
Examining their defensive statistics, the Jaguars have surrendered 3,111 passing yards, placing them 20th overall in the league. They allow 222.2 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 63.2%. Throughout the season, they’ve conceded 1,208 rushing yards in 14 matchups, including 23 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. They rank 10th in total yards allowed at 308.5 per game, yielding an average of 3.9 yards per rush and 86.3 rushing yards per matchup. Defensively, the Jaguars are doing well, allowing just 20.9 points per game, placing them 10th in the league.
The Broncos enter this game with a strong record of 12-2. In their latest outing, they claimed victory against the Green Bay Packers with a score of 34-26. Quarterback Bo Nix threw for 302 yards, achieving 4 touchdowns on 23 of 34 passing attempts, which resulted in a QB rating of 134.7. He remained interception-free with an average of 8.9 yards per attempt. RJ Harvey contributed with 19 carries for 65 yards (3.4 yards per carry). In the receiving game, Courtland Sutton caught 7 passes for 113 yards (16.1 yards per reception). The Broncos averaged 2.9 rushing yards per carry, totaling 89 yards on 31 attempts. They completed 391 yards from 65 plays (6.0 yards per play). On defense, the Broncos allowed a 60.0% completion percentage, giving up 247 yards through 24 completions on 40 attempts, and 115 rushing yards on 20 carries (5.8 yards per rush).
The Denver Broncos boast an average of 345.5 yards per game this season, placing them 11th in the league. They achieve 119.5 rushing yards per game, accumulating a total of 1,673 rushing yards. With 9 interceptions and 5 fumbles allowed, they have earned 164 first downs as a team. The offense has incurred 1,026 penalty yards over 112 penalties, ranking 2nd in the league for penalties committed that benefit opponents. Denver has thrown for 3,164 yards this season, averaging 226.0 yards per game through the air, ranking them 11th in the NFL. On the scoring front, the Broncos are 12th overall, averaging 24.4 points per game.
Defensively, the Broncos surrender an average of 18.6 points per game, ranking them 4th in the league. They have allowed 14 passing touchdowns along with 196.9 passing yards per game, also placing them 11th league-wide. Denver’s defense has conceded 1,272 rushing yards (90.9 yards per game) and 10 rushing touchdowns this year. Having participated in 882 defensive plays, their defense ranks 23rd. The Broncos have produced 12 turnovers this season (3 forced fumbles and 9 interceptions), resulting in a total of 261 points allowed.
Who will prevail in this exciting Jaguars-Broncos NFL matchup against the spread?
Expert’s Prediction: Take the Jaguars +3
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