Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+126) Milwaukee (-152)
The Milwaukee Brewers (61-41) host the Chicago Cubs (60-42) at American Family Field this Monday. With the odds set at Chicago at +126 and Milwaukee at -152, the total for the game is established at 9. The starting pitchers anticipated for this matchup are Matthew Boyd and Jacob Misiorowski.
The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .446 and have struck out 784 times while drawing 346 walks. They have a total of 525 RBIs and 899 hits this season, with a batting average of .256. This season, they have recorded 173 doubles and hit 152 home runs. With a team on-base percentage of .324, the Cubs score an impressive average of 5.3 runs per game, ranking 2nd in Major League Baseball.
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This season, the Cubs have an earned run average of 3.86, ranking 13th in the league, while their pitchers have struck out 764 batters. With 128 home runs allowed, the Cubs have conceded a total of 420 runs (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has issued 272 walks, working from a team FIP of 4.25. They have relinquished 841 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and allowed 390 earned runs, notching a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and a team WHIP of 1.22.
Relief pitchers for the Cubs have faced players on base 70 times and have had 100 high-leverage appearances. They have notched 63 holds this season, ranking 10th in MLB. With a save rate of 68.6%, they’ve been called upon in 101 save situations, achieving 24 saves while failing to convert 11 of their 35 opportunities. Cubs relievers have inherited 96 runners this season, with 29.2% scoring. They have utilized 335 relief pitchers so far this year.
The Boston Red Sox have recorded 2,729 putouts, 864 assists, and 42 errors this season, boasting a fielding percentage of .988, which ranks 5th in MLB, alongside 83 double plays. The Cubs have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs across 8,187 innings, placing them 3rd in professional baseball.
Matthew Boyd, with a career win-loss record of 57-72, holds a FIP of 4.47, having faced 4,361 batters in his major league career. He’s given up 995 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and issued 318 walks. His career ERA stands at 4.54 (518 earned runs), and his WHIP is 1.279 over 1,026 innings, during which he has recorded 999 strikeouts.
The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 96 home runs and 455 RBIs this season. They’ve hit 147 doubles and drawn 345 walks while scoring 489 runs. The Brewers have an OBP of .324 and a batting average of .250, with a team slugging percentage of .383, averaging 4.79 runs per game, which ranks 6th in MLB. They have struck out 813 times (21st in MLB) and registered 858 hits.
Milwaukee’s staff possesses a team WHIP of 1.229 and a FIP of 3.90. They rank 4th in the league for total hits allowed, with 782. Collectively, the Milwaukee pitching staff has surrendered 391 runs, boasting a team ERA of 3.59 (361 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.80 (882 strikeouts to 332 walks) with 107 home runs given up, allowing 3.88 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).
The Brewers’ relief corps has an inherited score percentage of 31.7% from 139 inherited runners. Their pitchers have taken the mound 117 times in high-leverage scenarios and 93 times with runners on base. With 115 save opportunities, Milwaukee has recorded 73 holds and suffered 12 blown saves. Ranking 5th in save rate at 70.0%, they have utilized 351 relievers this season, achieving 28 saves from 40 save chances.
The Milwaukee Brewers have executed 73 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). They’ve made 814 assists, committed 48 errors, and recorded 2,719 putouts this season. Overall, their defensive efficiency stands at 71.0% over 8,157 innings, ranking them 8th in professional baseball.
Jacob Misiorowski, boasting a 4-1 career record, has a 2.47 ERA, allowing 4.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.33 after facing 112 opponents in his MLB journey. Allowing only 8 earned runs and carrying a WHIP of 0.928, he holds a FIP of 2.4. In his MLB career, Misiorowski has allowed just 15 hits while striking out 40 batters over 29 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, whether against the spread or the moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Prediction: Opt for Milwaukee (-152) and an under on 9 runs
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