Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Forecast, 7/29/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Forecast, 7/29/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals

Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Betting Odds: Atlanta (+126) | Kansas City (-152)

Kauffman Stadium will host the exciting matchup between the Kansas City Royals (52-54) and the Atlanta Braves (44-60) this Tuesday. The betting line features the Braves at +126 while the Royals are favored at -152, with a total set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for this contest are Erick Fedde and Seth Lugo.

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The Atlanta Braves have a current slugging percentage of .389, with 896 strikeouts and 360 walks this season. They have recorded 413 RBIs and notched 847 hits, holding a batting average of .242. As a team, the Braves have hit 151 doubles and 112 home runs, tallying a total of 426 runs scored, and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .317. The Braves average 4.1 runs per game, placing them 22nd in Major League Baseball.

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The Braves’ pitching staff has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.10, ranking 19th in the league, with 938 strikeouts recorded. They have allowed 121 home runs, giving up a total of 442 runs (14th in MLB). Their pitchers have issued 343 walks, maintaining a FIP of 4.03 this season. Atlanta’s hurlers have given up 813 hits (8.0 per 9 innings), leading to 415 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.73, while the collective WHIP is 1.27.

This season, the Braves have utilized 332 relievers. Those relievers have inherited 139 runners, with 39.6% scoring. So far, they’ve recorded 14 saves from 30 chances, giving them a save percentage of 46.7%. The bullpen has accrued 37 holds (30th in the league) and has entered high-leverage situations 102 times.

As a team, the Braves have achieved 2,735 putouts this season, alongside 890 assists and 36 errors, boasting a .990 fielding percentage, which ranks them second in the league. They’ve converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs over their 8,205 innings played, placing them 13th in MLB.

Fedde (33-52 career record) holds a FIP of 4.81 and has faced 3,184 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 761 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has issued 290 walks, with an ERA of 4.88 (397 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.435. Over 732 innings, Fedde has recorded 569 strikeouts in his professional career.

The Kansas City Royals have a team slugging percentage of .381, averaging 3.54 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have achieved 181 doubles, drawn 246 walks, and scored 372 runs. This season, the Royals have hit 89 home runs and recorded 366 RBIs. With 720 strikeouts (29th in MLB) and 859 hits, Kansas City has an OBP of .299 and a batting average of .244.

Kansas City’s pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.221 and a FIP of 3.84. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.20 (850 strikeouts to 311 walks), placing them 9th in total hits allowed with 828. The team has given up 106 home runs and allows 3.80 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). This season, they have surrendered 394 runs, resulting in an ERA of 3.50 (363 earned runs allowed).

With 96 save situations, the Royals have recorded 52 holds alongside 14 blown saves. Their relievers have been called upon in 43 save opportunities, succeeding in 29 of those chances. They have entered high-leverage situations 114 times and faced runners on base 102 occasions. Kansas City’s relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.0% from 142 inherited runners. They rank 7th in save percentage at 67.4%, deploying 342 relievers this season.

Across their 8,400 defensive innings, the Royals have an efficiency rate of 71.0% (8th in baseball). Kansas City has turned 81 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in professional baseball). They have amassed 933 assists, 47 errors, and 2,800 putouts this season.

In his professional career, Lugo has allowed 846 hits while accumulating 928 strikeouts across 960 innings. Lugo (63-45 career record) has a 3.33 ERA, permitting 7.9 hits per 9 innings, along with 355 earned runs to date. He has a WHIP of 1.146 and a FIP of 3.3 with a K/BB ratio of 3.65, having faced 3,938 hitters in his career.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or the moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Selection: Choose Atlanta (+126)

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