- Matchup: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Event Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
- Broadcast: NFL Network
- Betting Odds: Chargers favored by 2 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 39.5
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The Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) will host the Houston Texans (10-5) this Saturday at SoFi Stadium, opening as 2-point favorites, with the over/under set at 39.5.
The Houston Texans come into this matchup with a solid record of 10-5. In their most recent game, they achieved a close win against the Las Vegas Raiders, with a score of 23-21. Quarterback C.J. Stroud completed 23 of 35 passes for 187 yards and secured 1 touchdown, registering a quarterback rating of 88.6 without any interceptions. Jawhar Jordan was a key player for the Texans, averaging 3.4 yards per reception, gathering 17 yards on 5 catches, and leading the ground game with 15 carries for 53 yards (3.5 yds per carry). Collectively, the Texans executed 61 plays for a total of 270 yards. They attempted 26 rushing plays, gaining 83 yards at an average of 3.2 yards per attempt. Defensively, the Texans allowed 145 rushing yards on 27 carries, giving up an average of 5.4 yards per run. They permitted 16 completions on 23 attempts, yielding 170 passing yards, equating to a completion rate of 69.6%.

This season, the Texans have accumulated a total of 4,858 offensive yards, with 167 first downs. They have incurred 103 penalties accumulating 842 yards. In terms of scoring, Houston has recorded 21 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns while turning the ball over 10 times (7 interceptions, 3 fumbles). The team averages 106.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 23rd in the NFL. On average, the Texans score 23.1 points per game.
Defensively, Houston has allowed 2,641 passing yards, positioning them 4th overall, with an average of 176.1 passing yards given up per game and a completion rate of 58.6%. They have conceded 1,443 rushing yards throughout the season, with 17 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns allowed. Overall, they rank first in the league by allowing just 272.3 yards per game and maintain an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 96.2 rushing yards per game this season. The Texans proudly hold the top rank in points allowed, giving up an average of 16.6 points per game.
The Chargers enter this contest with an impressive record of 11-4. In their latest outing, they triumphed over the Dallas Cowboys with a score of 34-17. Omarion Hampton led the rushing game, carrying the ball 16 times for 85 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per attempt. Keenan Allen was the primary target in the passing game, making 5 receptions for 44 yards (averaging 8.8 yards per catch). Quarterback Justin Herbert threw for 300 yards on 23 completions out of 29 attempts, securing 2 touchdowns and achieving a quarterback rating of 132.8 without throwing any interceptions, averaging 10.3 yards per attempt. Defensively, the Chargers faced 23 rushing attempts, allowing 91 yards (4.0 yards per carry). Their passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 71.9%, surrendering 249 yards on 23 completions out of 32 attempts. Overall, the Chargers amassed 452 total yards while executing 62 plays (averaging 7.3 yards per play). They achieved a rushing average of 4.6 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 152 rushing yards on 33 attempts.
Defensively, the Chargers have conceded 14 passing touchdowns and give up 179.3 passing yards per game, which ranks them 6th overall. They have allowed a total of 1,557 rushing yards (103.8 rushing yards per game) and surrendered 16 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has forced 21 turnovers (4 forced fumbles, 17 interceptions). Overall, they have allowed 301 total points and have participated in 846 plays, which ranks them 1st in the league for plays faced. The Chargers allow an average of 20.1 points per game, placing them 8th in scoring defense in the NFL.
Who will emerge victorious in this exciting Texans-Chargers matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Take the Texans +2
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