- Matchup: Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: WXPX-TV
- Betting Odds: Canadiens (-144) Lightning (+120)
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This Sunday, the Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3) are set to face off against the Montreal Canadiens (20-12-5) at Amalie Arena. The current moneyline features Montreal at -144 and Tampa Bay at +120, with the total points line sitting at 6.
The Canadiens recently celebrated a dominant 6-2 win over the Bruins. They faced 32 penalty minutes while successfully converting 2 of 7 power play chances. Offensively, Montreal found the net 6 times from 29 shots in that game.
Even at even strength, Montreal has given up 94 goals while scoring an equal number. Their opponents have capitalized on 121 power play opportunities (6th in the league), achieving 27 goals. On offense, the Canadiens have totaled 121 goals this season (5th overall), paired with a shooting percentage of 12.9% from 940 shots. They’ve secured 45 points, reflecting a points percentage of .608. This season, they’ve faced 1,011 shots against, yielding a save percentage of .880. With 104 power play chances, Montreal has scored 27 goals, resulting in a power play percentage of 25.96%.
Jakub Dobes is projected to be the starting goalie for this matchup. Throughout his professional career, opponents have scored 95 goals against him, leading to a 2.79 goals against average. Dobes has been in net for 36 games, holding a save percentage of .901 over 895 minutes of play. He boasts a record of 19-9-6 and has started in 34 contests, achieving 20 quality starts with a .588 quality start percentage. He’s faced 957 shots and made a total of 862 saves.
In their most recent outing, the Lightning triumphed over the Blues, clinching a 4-1 victory. Tampa Bay scored 4 times from 17 shots and converted 2 out of 4 power play opportunities.
This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have amassed 117 goals, 43 points, and maintain a points percentage of .597. They have allowed a total of 94 goals, with 76 scored at even strength and 18 while shorthanded. The Lightning have netted 96 goals while even strength and contributed 21 goals (15th in the league) during power plays. They have secured 116 power play opportunities with an 18.10% success rate. Tampa Bay has taken 997 shots (22nd in the league) with a shooting percentage of 11.74%, while allowing 958 shots against. Their penalty kill rate stands at 84.35%, successfully defending against 115 power play chances, and their save percentage is 90.2%.
Jonas Johansson is anticipated to guard the net for Tampa Bay. He has made 2,273 saves from 2,552 attempts, resulting in an .891 save percentage. Johansson holds a career record of 39-32-13, having participated in 95 games with 84 starts and 4,275 total minutes played. His quality start percentage is 45.2%, accruing 38 quality starts during his career. On average, teams score 3.32 goals per game against him, leading to a total of 279 goals allowed.
Who will secure a win tonight in this NHL clash— will it be the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Tampa Bay (+120)
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