Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds
Scheduled Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: Atlanta (+125) Cincinnati (-150)
The Cincinnati Reds (57-52) will face off against the Atlanta Braves (45-62) this Friday at Great American Ball Park. The betting lines show the Braves at +125, while the Reds are favored at -150. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with Bryce Elder and Brady Singer as the starting pitchers.
The Braves have managed 159 doubles and 117 home runs this season, with a slugging percentage of .389. They have been struck out 928 times but have also drawn 384 walks. Atlanta scores an average of 4.1 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in Major League Baseball. So far, they have recorded 430 RBIs and 879 hits, boasting a .242 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage.
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Atlanta’s pitching staff has recorded a K/BB ratio of 2.68 with a WHIP of 1.28. The Braves have given up 124 home runs and 467 total runs, ranking 16th in the league. Their season average ERA stands at 4.18 (20th in MLB), while they have fanned 965 opposing batters. This season, the Braves’ pitchers have walked 360 batters, and their FIP is 4.04.
The Braves’ bullpen has achieved a save rate of 48.4% through 70 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners, with 39.2% scoring. Atlanta pitchers have faced runners on base 109 times and appeared in 108 clutch situations. A total of 346 relief pitchers have been used this season, leading to 39 holds, but they’ve struggled with 15 saves on 31 attempts.
The Braves convert 70.1% of balls in play into outs over 8,511 innings, ranking 12th in MLB. The team has registered 2,837 putouts, 924 assists, and 37 errors this season, maintaining an impressive .990 fielding percentage (2nd in the league) with 73 double plays completed.
Bryce Elder, who has a career win-loss record of 20-20, holds a FIP of 4.61 and has faced 1,585 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 374 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 138 walks. His career ERA is 4.68 (190 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.402, and across 365 innings, he has recorded 294 strikeouts.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .320 on-base percentage and a .246 team batting average this season. They have recorded 935 strikeouts (10th in MLB) and 896 hits, alongside 111 home runs and 465 RBIs. With a slugging percentage of .392, they average 4.55 runs per game (11th highest). This season, they also boast 171 doubles, 369 walks, and a total of 496 runs scored.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 452 runs, resulting in a season ERA of 3.85 (412 earned runs). They have given up 122 home runs and allow 4.23 runs per nine innings, ranking 12th. Their WHIP is 1.239 with a FIP of 4.07. The Reds’ K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.40, with 902 strikeouts against 343 walks, ranking 7th in the league for fewest hits allowed with 849.
In 109 save scenarios, Cincinnati has achieved 68 holds and experienced 13 blown saves. Their relievers have participated in 39 save opportunities, securing 26 saves. The bullpen has made 96 high-leverage appearances and 89 with runners on base, managing an inherited score rate of 32.6% of their 141 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.7%, having utilized 368 relievers this season.
The Reds possess a defensive efficiency rate of 71.2% (4th in MLB) over 8,664 innings played. With 64 double plays completed and a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in the league), the Reds have accumulated 820 assists, 56 errors, and 2,888 putouts this year.
Brady Singer has allowed 798 hits in his career, striking out 746 batters over 794 innings. With a career record of 44-52, he has a 4.33 ERA, giving up 9.0 hits per nine innings. Singer has allowed 382 earned runs, carrying a WHIP of 1.328 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.90 as he has faced 3,404 opposing hitters in his career.
Who will secure the victory in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Favor Cincinnati (-150)
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