Matchup: Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-210) | Boston (+172)
The Houston Astros (62-47) are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox (59-51) this Friday at Fenway Park. The Astros, favored at -210, will look to maintain their lead over the Red Sox, who are posted at +172. This matchup features a total of 9 runs, with Hunter Brown and Cooper Criswell taking the mound as the expected starting pitchers.
The Houston Astros have a slugging percentage of .405 and have struck out 858 times compared to earning 316 walks. With a season total of 451 RBIs and 946 hits, their batting average rests at .257. The Astros boast 164 doubles and have hit 120 home runs, accounting for 473 runs scored and achieving an on-base percentage of .322. They average 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 16th in the league.
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The Astros have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.25, coupled with a team WHIP of 1.19. The pitching staff has allowed 126 home runs and 424 runs in total, ranking 6th in the league. They have surrendered 830 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 398 earned runs, holding a team ERA of 3.69 (8th in MLB). They have recorded 1,057 strikeouts and issued 325 walks, with a FIP of 3.73 this season.
Astros relief pitchers have faced runners on base 75 times, appearing 109 times in high-pressure situations. The bullpen has registered 68 holds (9th in the league) and has a save rate of 73.9%. Houston’s relief pitchers have been called into 115 save situations, successfully converting 34 while failing on 12 occasions. They have inherited 104 runners, with 26.9% scoring. So far, the Astros have deployed 338 relief pitchers this season.
The Detroit Tigers amassed 2,913 putouts this year, contributing to 850 assists and committing 46 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .988, placing them 8th in MLB, while completing 69 double plays. The Astros convert 70.5% of balls in play into outs over 8,739 innings, ranking 10th in the majors.
Brown has recorded 470 innings pitched in his career, achieving 528 strikeouts. His career earned run average is 3.66, having allowed 191 earned runs and holding a career WHIP of 1.221. He’s permitted 414 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) along with 160 walks. With a career record of 33-27, Brown’s FIP stands at 3.60 after facing 1,940 batters in the majors.
The Boston Red Sox boast an on-base percentage of .323 and a batting average of .253. They’ve struck out 995 times (3rd in the league) and racked up 959 hits this season. Boston has achieved 137 home runs and a total of 523 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .432. They average 4.95 runs per game, ranking 4th in MLB, and have tallied 226 doubles while drawing 353 walks for a total of 545 runs scored.
As a pitching unit, the Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 3.97. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40 (916 strikeouts to 364 walks). Ranking 22nd in the league, Boston has surrendered 915 total hits, allowing 112 home runs and giving up 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). Their pitching staff has allowed a total of 477 runs, maintaining a team ERA of 3.76 (412 earned runs).
This season, Boston’s relievers have been called upon 52 times in save situations, converting 30 saves. They sit at 24th in the league with a 57.7% save success rate, having used 359 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered high-pressure situations 139 times, handling bases with runners on 111 occasions. The Red Sox bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 32.9% from 146 inherited runners, while earning 61 holds with 22 blown saves in 115 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Red Sox have completed 91 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in MLB). With 1,009 assists, 84 errors, and 2,955 putouts this season, Boston has recorded a defensive efficiency of 68.8% over 8,865 innings played (25th in professional baseball).
In his career, Criswell has given up 167 base hits while accumulating 109 strikeouts over 147 innings pitched. With an 8-7 win-loss record, he owns a 4.65 ERA while allowing 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has permitted 76 earned runs and possesses a WHIP of 1.447 along with a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.37 after facing 651 batters throughout his professional career.
Who will come out on top in this MLB matchup? Will it be against the spread or moneyline?
Pick from Tony Sink: Go with Houston (-210)
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