Siena Saints vs Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Prediction for College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 1/11/2026

Home » Siena Saints vs Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Prediction for College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 1/11/2026

  • Matchup: Siena Saints vs Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Venue: Knott Arena, Emmitsburg, MD
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (5-11) face off against the Siena Saints (10-5) at Knott Arena this Sunday.

NCAA Basketball Predictions by Gavin Doty - Siena Saints Betting Insights

In their previous outing, the Siena Saints triumphed over Rider with a score of 74-65. Siena committed 13 personal fouls, compared to Rider’s 15. They struggled from beyond the arc, sinking only 4 of 22 attempts. Notably, Rider excelled at the free-throw line, hitting 11 of 13 shots for an impressive 84.6%. On the boards, Rider grabbed 21 rebounds (8 offensive, 13 defensive), but failed to register any blocks. They also accumulated 14 assists and 4 steals throughout the game. Defensively, the Saints permitted their opponents to shoot 43.1%, allowing 25 baskets from 58 attempts. Siena recorded 14 assists, caused 6 turnovers, and netted 3 steals. They secured a total of 39 rebounds, with 17 coming from the offensive end. From the free-throw line, the Saints converted 16 of 22, resulting in a 72.7% accuracy rate. Siena concluded the game with a field goal percentage of 46.4% (26 of 56) and successfully made 6 of their 15 three-point attempts.

A key player for the Saints was Gavin Doty, who delivered a standout performance with a shooting percentage of 61.5%. He logged 5 assists while playing 35 minutes and collecting 7 rebounds. Doty finished the game with 19 points, making 8 of 13 shots.

With a seasonal record of 10-5, Siena averages 70.0 points per game (311th in Division 1) and boasts a field goal percentage of 44.7%. They are shooting 28.9% from three-point range (76 of 263) and 72.0% from the free-throw line. Collectively, Siena grabs 34.4 rebounds per game and has dished out 193 assists this year, ranking them 297th in Division 1 for assists. They commit an average of 10.7 turnovers and 14.1 fouls per game.

On the defensive front, the Saints force an average of 13.0 turnovers per game and commit 16.8 personal fouls. They hold opponents to a 29.9% success rate from three-point range and currently rank 22nd in the nation for points allowed per game at 65.3. Siena allows opponents to shoot 44.6% from the field (360 of 807) and concedes an average of 31.2 rebounds. They rank 24th in college basketball for assists allowed, surrendering 161 this season.

In their last appearance, the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers suffered a defeat, losing 80-69 to Quinnipiac. On the boards, Mount St. Mary’s permitted Quinnipiac to secure 33 rebounds (11 offensive). They shot 36.8% from beyond the arc, hitting 7 of 19 attempts, and ended the game with a free-throw success rate of 77.8% (21 of 27). Quinnipiac converted 26 of 57 shots, resulting in a 45.6% shooting percentage. The Mountaineers struggled offensively, hitting 25 of 68 shots for 36.8%. From distance, they managed to sink 11 of 34 attempts (32.4%). Quinnipiac committed 11 fouls during the game, offering the Mountaineers a chance at the charity stripe 10 times. Mount St. Mary’s recorded 12 turnovers while earning 6 steals. They collected a total of 30 rebounds (16 defensive, 14 offensive).

Arlandus Keyes played a pivotal role for the Mountaineers, making 6 out of 16 attempts for a field goal percentage of 37.5%. He grabbed 4 rebounds and tallied 17 points in 28 minutes of playing time, along with 3 assists.

Currently, Mount St. Mary’s holds a 5-11 record. Offensively, they connect on 43.4% of their field goals, ranking 277th nationwide. The Mountaineers have scored 1,091 points this season (68.2 points per game) and average 35.8 rebounds per contest. Their assist average is 14.8 per game (153rd in D-1), but they tend to turn the ball over 16.7 times per game. Additionally, Mount St. Mary’s averages 18.9 fouls per game and has a free-throw percentage of 64.7%.

Defensively, the Mountaineers allow opponents to shoot 34.1% from three-point range (143 of 419) and 75.6% from the free-throw line. They concede 12.9 assists and 33.8 rebounds per game, ranking 162nd and 140th in college basketball. In terms of points allowed per game, Mount St. Mary’s sits at 226th in the nation with 75.1 points. They force an average of 11.8 turnovers and let teams shoot 42.1% from the field (104th overall).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back Siena

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Pick: Siena Saints
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