- Matchup: Los Angeles Rams vs Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: NBC
- Point Spread: Bears (+3.5)
- Total Points: 48.5
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The Chicago Bears (11-6) are set to clash with the Los Angeles Rams (12-5) at Soldier Field this Sunday for an NFC Divisional Playoff showdown. The Rams are favored by 3.5 points according to the latest betting lines, and the total is projected at 48.5 points.
The Los Angeles Rams enter this matchup boasting a solid 12-5 record for the season. Their most recent outing was a thrilling victory against the Carolina Panthers, where they secured a win with a score of 34-31. Quarterback Matthew Stafford threw for 304 yards on 24 completions out of 42 attempts, contributing 3 touchdown passes alongside a QB rating of 93.7, though he did throw one interception. Puka Nacua emerged as a key target, averaging 11.1 yards per reception with 111 yards on 10 catches. On the ground, Kyren Williams led the team with 57 yards from 13 carries at an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. Overall, the Rams executed 71 plays accumulating 411 yards, with 29 running attempts resulting in 116 yards (4.0 yards per carry). The Rams’ defense permitted 83 yards on 22 rush attempts and allowed 21 completions from 40 passing attempts, leading to 250 passing yards and a completion rate of 52.5%.
The Rams have amassed a remarkable 6,709 yards throughout the season. They’ve racked up 236 first downs and incurred 75 penalties totaling 573 yards. On the scoring front, Los Angeles has achieved 46 touchdown passes and 17 rushing TDs, with 15 turnovers accounted for (8 interceptions and 7 fumbles). Averaging 126.6 rushing yards per game, they sit 7th in the league and post an impressive average of 30.5 points scored per contest.
In terms of passing defense, the Rams have relinquished 3,684 yards, ranking them 19th in the league. They allow 216.7 yards per game through the air and maintain a completion rate against them of 64.0%. This season, they have conceded 1,884 rushing yards across 17 games, permitting 26 touchdown passes and 8 on the ground. Their overall average of 327.5 total yards allowed per game ranks them 17th in the league, with a rushing defense yielding 4.3 yards per attempt and 110.8 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Rams hold a 10th place ranking in points conceded, averaging 20.4 points per game.
The Bears approach this game with a record of 11-6 for the season. Their last game resulted in a narrow victory against the Green Bay Packers, ending at 31-27. Caleb Williams accounted for 2 touchdowns, completing 24 out of 48 attempts for 361 yards, while his QB rating stood at 71.6. Though he did throw 2 interceptions, his average yards per attempt was 7.5. Colston Loveland shone for the Bears, catching 8 passes for an impressive 137 yards (17.1 average yards per catch). D’Andre Swift notched 54 yards on 13 carries, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. The Bears finished with a total of 445 yards from 76 plays (5.9 yards per play). In their rushing game, they averaged 3.3 yards per carry, concluding with 93 yards on 28 attempts. The Bears allowed 99 yards on 23 rush attempts (4.3 yards each). Defensively, they recorded a 52.2% completion rate against, allowing 322 passing yards on 24 of 46 passing attempts.
Regarding scoring efficiency, the Bears rank 9th in professional football, averaging 25.9 points per game. This season, they have achieved 3,826 passing yards, averaging 225.1 yards per game (10th in the league). On the ground, they average 144.5 rushing yards per game and have accumulated 2,456 rushing yards in total. The Bears have a comprehensive average of 369.5 yards per game, placing them 6th overall. Unfortunately, they’ve faced 120 penalties this season, amounting to a loss of 970 yards, which ranks them 6th in the league for penalties. With 7 interceptions and 4 fumbles, they have also recorded 190 first downs as a collective unit.
Defensively, the Bears have allowed 32 touchdown passes, yielding 227.2 passing yards per game, which ranks them 22nd in the league. They’ve given up 2,287 rushing yards (134.5 yards per game), allowing 15 rushing touchdowns this year. With 33 takeaways (10 fumbles forced and 23 interceptions), the Bears have given up a total of 415 points during the season. Their defensive unit has been involved in 1,025 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 12th in the league. They surrender an average of 24.4 points per game, standing at 23rd in professional football.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s Rams-Bears NFL matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Back the Bears +3.5 and over 48.5 total points.
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