- Matchup: Hawaii Warriors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Venue: Mott Athletics Center, San Luis Obispo, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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The Hawaii Warriors (12-3) are set to face off against the Cal Poly Mustangs (7-11) at the Mott Athletics Center this Thursday.
In their most recent outing, the Hawaii Warriors secured a narrow victory against UC Irvine, finishing 67-66. Throughout the match, both teams recorded 15 personal fouls. The Warriors had a shooting performance of 2 for 8 from three-point range. On the free throw line, UC Irvine excelled, hitting 12 out of 15 for a conversion rate of 80%. They managed a total of 40 rebounds (14 offensive, 26 defensive) but did not record any blocks. UC Irvine dished out 6 assists and garnered 9 steals. Defensively, Hawaii held UC Irvine to 38.8% shooting, allowing 26 of 67 attempts to find the basket. Hawaii also achieved 15 assists, forced 15 turnovers, and claimed 7 steals. On the boards, they gathered 29 rebounds with 9 being offensive. At the charity stripe, Hawaii converted 9 of 13 attempts, resulting in a 69.2% shooting percentage. Overall, Hawaii posted shooting figures of 40.6% from the field (26 of 64) and 6 of 24 from beyond the arc.
Isaac Johnson emerged as a standout player for the Warriors, finishing the game with 50% shooting from the field, contributing 1 assist, and playing for 13 minutes. He secured 5 rebounds and netted 15 points from 5 of 10 shooting.
The Warriors head into this game with a solid record of 12-3. They boast an average of 79.5 points per game (ranking 127th in Division 1) and shoot 46.8% from the field. Hawaii’s three-point shooting stands at 31.8% (109 of 343) along with a free throw percentage of 71.8%. The Warriors average 40.4 rebounds per game and have accumulated 226 assists this season, which ranks 253rd nationally. They average 13.2 turnovers and commit 17.0 personal fouls per match.
On the defensive end, the Warriors are forcing 11.8 turnovers per game and drawing an average of 21.6 fouls from their opponents. They allow only 27.2% on three-point attempts and rank 9th in Division 1 for points allowed per game (63.4). Their opponents’ field goal percentage stands at 38.3% (341 of 891), and Hawaii surrenders 31.5 rebounds per game while ranking first in the nation for least assists allowed (129 thrown this season).
In their previous game, the Cal Poly Mustangs came out on top against UC Davis, achieving an 84-78 victory. The Mustangs allowed UC Davis to record 32 rebounds (8 offensive) and shot 39.3% from three-point territory, making 11 of 28 attempts. From the free throw line, Cal Poly succeeded in 17 of 20 attempts, yielding an impressive 85.0% success rate. UC Davis shot 39.7% from the field, converting 25 of their 63 attempts. Conversely, Cal Poly’s shooting numbers showed 24 out of 57 for a field goal percentage of 42.1% and 10 of 34 from downtown (29.4%). The Mustangs managed to take 28 free throw attempts, benefiting from 20 fouls committed by UC Davis. They recorded 10 turnovers while logging 6 steals in the game. Defensively, Cal Poly gathered 27 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 32.
Hamad Mousa played a crucial role for the Mustangs in this victory. He converted 6 of 14 attempts for a shooting percentage of 42.9%, collected 10 rebounds, and scored 24 points over his 36 minutes on the floor, while also providing 3 assists.
This season, the Mustangs hold a record of 7-11. They average 20.6 personal fouls per game and maintain a 76.3% conversion rate from the free throw line. With 12.7 assists per game (ranked 292nd in Division 1) and 15.7 turnovers per game, they have scored a total of 1,465 points this season, averaging 81.4 points per game. Cal Poly accounts for 39.0 rebounds per game, while shooting 42.1% from the field, placing them 322nd in the country.
Defensively, the Mustangs rank 355th in college basketball for points allowed, surrendering 85.3 points per game. They force opponents into 12.4 turnovers per game while allowing a shooting percentage of 45.1% (267th nationally). Opponents convert 33.7% of their three-point attempts (173 of 513) and achieve 72.6% from the free-throw line. The Mustangs give up an average of 16.2 assists and 38.1 rebounds each game, ranking 331st and 330th in these categories, respectively.
Who will dominate in tonight’s NCAA game against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Hawaii
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