Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs
Scheduled Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Marquee Network
Betting Line: Baltimore (+125) Chicago (-150)
This Sunday, Wrigley Field will host an exciting matchup between the Chicago Cubs (63-45) and the Baltimore Orioles (50-59). The moneyline for this game places Baltimore at +125 and Chicago at -150. The total runs expected in this game is 9. Pitching for their respective teams will be Cade Povich and Colin Rea.
As a collective unit, the Baltimore Orioles are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking 13th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 482 runs with a team on-base percentage of .309. The Orioles have hit 182 doubles and connected for 136 home runs this season. Additionally, they have accrued 456 RBIs from 896 hits, while maintaining a batting average of .245. Baltimore’s slugging percentage sits at .413, with 936 strikeouts and 299 walks so far.
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The Orioles currently sport a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.89, ranking them 27th in the league. They have tallied 889 strikeouts this year. The pitching staff has given up 153 home runs and a total of 549 runs (also 27th in MLB). Their pitchers have walked 363 opposing batters, with a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 4.57. Baltimore has allowed 992 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 521 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and a team WHIP of 1.41.
This season, the Orioles’ bullpen boasts a save rate of 65.0%, having entered 119 save situations. Relievers have inherited 151 runners, with 19.9% scoring. The Orioles have had pitchers come in with runners on base 113 times and have made 113 high-leverage appearances. This team has utilized 378 relief pitchers, achieving 76 holds (second in MLB) and converting 26 saves from 40 opportunities.
Defensively, the Orioles have converted 68.0% of balls in play into outs, ranking 29th in Major League Baseball, with 2,875 putouts, 957 assists, and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .985, placing them 20th in the league, along with 78 double plays executed.
Povich has pitched 143 innings, recording 137 strikeouts throughout his professional career. He has a win-loss record of 5-14 and a FIP of 5.13, having faced 637 batters. Povich’s earned run average is 5.21 (allowing 83 earned runs), accompanied by a career WHIP of 1.471. He has allowed 154 hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has issued 57 walks.
The Chicago Cubs are leading with a team slugging percentage of .444 and are scoring an average of 5.28 runs per game, ranking first in the league. They have managed to hit 188 doubles, drawn 372 walks, and scored a total of 570 runs. Additionally, the Cubs have connected for 158 home runs this season, achieving 555 RBIs. They have struck out 840 times (26th in MLB) and recorded 951 hits, along with an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .255.
As a pitching staff, the Cubs have a WHIP of 1.235 and a FIP of 4.33. They rank 17th in MLB for total hits allowed, having given up 901 hits and 457 runs with a team ERA of 3.96 (423 earned runs). The K/BB ratio stands at 7.50 (804 strikeouts versus 285 walks). They have allowed 141 home runs and concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).
Chicago’s bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 30.1% out of 103 inherited runners. The relievers have entered high-leverage situations 101 times, with 74 instances of having runners on base. The Cubs have entered 106 save situations, notching 67 holds and 11 blown saves. Their save rate is 69.4%, placing fifth in the league, and they have used 356 bullpen pitchers this season, converting 25 saves out of 36 chances.
Defensively, the Cubs have turned 88 double plays and carry a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 8th in MLB. They have recorded 909 assists, made 46 errors, and achieved 2,882 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency sits at 71.2%, placing them 4th in the majors over 8,646 innings played.
Colin Rea, throughout his career, has allowed 544 hits and collected 441 strikeouts in 552 innings pitched. He has given up 277 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.286, and possesses a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.66, having faced a total of 2,351 hitters in his professional journey. Rea’s career record is 34-25 with a 4.51 ERA, allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or winning outright?
Parlay Expert’s Prediction: Opt for Chicago (-150) and the under on 9 runs.
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