Matchup: New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-128) Miami Marlins (+106)
On Sunday, the Miami Marlins (52-55) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (60-49) at loanDepot park. The current betting odds feature New York at -128 and Miami at +106, with an over/under total of 9 runs. The starting pitchers projected for this matchup are Luis Gil and Edward Cabrera.
The New York Yankees are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking them 3rd in Major League Baseball (MLB). With a total of 564 runs, their on-base percentage stands at .332. They have hit 183 doubles and knocked 174 home runs, accumulating 541 RBIs and 935 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .252. New York boasts a slugging percentage of .452 while tallying 957 strikeouts and drawing walks 414 times.
New York’s pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.61 and a combined WHIP of 1.24. The team’s pitchers have allowed 121 home runs and 465 runs, placing them 15th in the league. They allowed 831 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and recorded 426 earned runs. The Yankees’ collective ERA is 3.97 (17th in MLB), and they’ve struck out 962 batters with 369 walks, leading to a FIP of 3.99.
The Yankees’ bullpen has a save rate of 69.8%, entering game situations a total of 105 times. They’ve inherited 179 base runners this season, with 25.7% scoring. This year, Yankees pitchers have entered games with runners on base 120 times and 105 times in high-leverage situations. Over the course of the season, 360 relief pitchers have been utilized, accounting for 61 holds (16th overall) and 30 saves, with 13 blown saves out of 43 chances.
Defensively, the Yankees have recorded 2,897 putouts, 924 assists, and 59 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have successfully turned 69 double plays and have converted 71.1% of play opportunities into outs over 8,691 innings, positioning them 6th in the league.
Pitcher Luis Gil has logged 185 innings and amassed 214 strikeouts throughout his career. With a win-loss record of 16-8, Gil holds a FIP of 3.50, having faced 785 hitters in the majors. His ERA stands at 3.55 (73 earned runs), and he has a WHIP of 1.227, surrendering 129 hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) along with 98 walks.
The Miami Marlins have recorded 99 home runs and 435 RBIs this season, alongside 182 doubles, 315 walks, and 453 total runs. Their team on-base percentage is .314, with a batting average of .252 and a slugging percentage of .393, averaging 4.23 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have struck out 841 times (25th) and totaled 921 hits.
This season, the Marlins’ pitching staff has allowed 500 runs, carrying a team ERA of 4.36 (461 earned runs). They’ve given up 111 homers while allowing 4.73 runs per nine innings (24th in MLB). Miami carries a WHIP of 1.303 and a team FIP of 4.05. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.00 (843 strikeouts vs. 337 walks), ranking them 19th in fewer hits allowed with a total of 904.
Miami’s bullpen has inherited 122 runners, allowing 32.0% of those to score. They have appeared in 116 high-leverage situations and 84 instances with runners on base. The Marlins’ bullpen has faced 105 save opportunities, securing 60 holds alongside 17 blown saves. Their save rate of 61.4% ranks 17th in the league, while 336 different relievers have been used this year.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have executed 76 double plays and feature a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). They have managed 939 assists, committed 56 errors, and achieved a total of 2,857 putouts this season. With a defensive efficiency rate of 69.6% (18th in MLB) over 8,571 innings, they aim to improve moving forward.
Throughout his MLB career, Cabrera has permitted 311 hits and amassed 424 strikeouts across 388 innings. With a career win-loss record of 21-27, Cabrera boasts a 4.08 ERA while allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 176 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.320, and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.11 as he has faced 1,658 batters in his baseball tenure.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off, both against the spread and the money line?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Bet on New York (-128)
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