Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints Prediction for 1/19/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints Prediction for 1/19/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Venue: MVP Arena, Albany, NY
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Fairfield Stags (11-7) are set to visit MVP Arena on Monday, aiming to overcome the Siena Saints (11-7).

Braden Sparks College Basketball Predictions for Fairfield Stags

In their most recent outing, the Fairfield Stags triumphed over Manhattan, clinching a resounding victory with a score of 98-62. The Stags showcased an impressive 57.1% shooting percentage (36 of 63) while hitting 12 of 24 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, Fairfield converted 14 out of 22 attempts, achieving a 63.6% success rate. On the boards, they secured 38 rebounds, including 10 offensive rebounds. The team registered 22 assists and caused 13 turnovers, while also making 5 steals. Defensively, they held Manhattan to a shooting percentage of 35.7% (20 of 56) and did not allow any blocks. Manhattan achieved a free-throw percentage of 79.2% by sinking 19 of 24 attempts and made 3 out of their 18 three-point attempts. Both teams committed 19 personal fouls in the matchup.

Braden Sparks stood out as a key player, contributing 23 points on 7 of 19 shooting. He played for 36 minutes, added 5 rebounds, and recorded 3 assists.

The Stags head into this game with an overall record of 11-7 this season. They average 78.2 points per game (155th in the nation) while shooting 43.3% from the field. From three-point territory, they hit 35.0% of their shots (152 of 434) and convert 73.2% from the free-throw line. On average, Fairfield grabs 40.3 rebounds per game and has dished out 218 assists this season, ranking 284th in Division 1 for assists. They average 9.6 turnovers and commit 15.5 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive side, the Stags force 11.0 turnovers per game while drawing 15.9 personal fouls. They have allowed 246 assists for the season, currently ranking 240th in college basketball. Opponents have posted a field goal percentage of 44.1% (473 of 1,072) against them, while the Stags give up an average of 34.9 rebounds per contest. They surrender a 33.7% success rate from beyond the arc and rank 167th in Division 1 for opponent points per game allowed (72.9).

In their last game, the Siena Saints fell to Sacred Heart, with the final score sitting at 86-80. In terms of rebounding, Siena allowed Sacred Heart to secure 40 rebounds (13 offensive). The Saints managed to shoot 42.9% from long-range, netting 15 of 35 attempts, and a perfect 13 out of 13 from the free-throw line. Meanwhile, Sacred Heart had a field goal percentage of 41.4%, making 29 of 70 shots. Overall, the Saints hit 32 of 71 attempts from the floor for a shooting percentage of 45.1%. They also converted 7 out of their 29 three-point attempts (24.1%) and achieved a 90.0% shooting rate from the free-throw line. Sacred Heart committed 13 fouls, which allowed the Saints to take 10 free-throw attempts. Siena committed only 3 turnovers while making 4 steals in the game. They combined for 35 total rebounds, including 23 defensive and 12 offensive boards.

Justice Shoats proved to be instrumental for the Saints, scoring 18 points on 8 out of 11 shooting (72.7%) and grabbing 5 rebounds over 40 minutes of game time, while also adding 4 assists.

Siena also sits at an 11-7 record for the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Saints are converting 44.4% from the floor (240th in the nation). They have accumulated 1,256 points this season (averaging 69.8 per game) and grab 35.0 rebounds per contest. The team averages 12.9 assists per game (276th in Division 1) and experiences 10.1 turnovers each game. Siena commits 14.1 personal fouls on average and converts 72.6% of their free-throw attempts.

Defensively, the Saints allow opponents to shoot 31.4% from three-point range (116 of 370). Their adversaries convert 73.4% of free-throw attempts against them. Siena gives up an average of 11.3 assists and 31.8 rebounds per game, ranking 39th and 55th nationally, respectively. Their defense currently ranks 20th in Division 1 for points allowed per game, conceding just 65.4. They force their opponents into 12.3 turnovers per game while allowing a 43.5% shooting percentage from the field (171st in college basketball).

Who will claim victory in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Fairfield

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Pick: Fairfield Stags
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