Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 1/21/2026

Home » Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 1/21/2026

  • Matchup: Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos
  • Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
  • Venue: The Pit, Albuquerque, NM
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Fresno State Bulldogs (9-9) head to The Pit this Wednesday, aiming for a victory against the New Mexico Lobos (14-4).

College Basketball Picks: Tomislav Buljan's Predictions, Best Bets, and Odds for New Mexico Lobos

In their latest game, the Fresno State Bulldogs faced off against Wyoming and secured a narrow victory, finishing 63-60. The Bulldogs achieved a 41.2% shooting percentage (21 for 51) and hit 3 out of 18 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they converted 18 of 27 for a success rate of 66.7%. On the boards, Fresno State grabbed a total of 30 rebounds, with 10 being offensive. They also recorded 12 assists and forced 13 turnovers while making 8 steals. Defensively, Fresno State allowed their opponent to shoot 40.7% (22 of 54). Wyoming contributed with 10 assists and managed 3 steals. In rebounding, Wyoming collected 34 boards (11 offensive, 23 defensive) but did not have any blocks, finishing free throws at an impressive 91.7% (11 of 12) and making 5 of 19 attempts from beyond the arc. Throughout this contest, the Bulldogs committed 15 fouls compared to Wyoming’s 22.

David Douglas Jr. was a key player in this match, scoring 13 points on 3 of 9 shooting and adding 1 rebound in 32 minutes on the court, finishing with a field goal percentage of 33.3% and providing 1 assist.

Fresno State arrives at this matchup with a season record of 9-9. On average, they commit 13.7 turnovers and 16.1 fouls per game. The Bulldogs secure approximately 35.2 rebounds per match and have compiled 249 assists this season, ranking 242nd nationally in assists. Their shooting stats include a 31.3% success rate from three-point range (131 of 419) and 74.4% from the free-throw line. Offensively, they average 72.5 points per contest, placing them 281st in the nation, while shooting at a 44.6% clip from the field.

Defensively, Fresno State forces 14.1 turnovers per game while committing 17.7 personal fouls. They limit opponents to a 27.8% success rate on three-point shots and rank 94th nationally by allowing 70.2 points per game. The Bulldogs’ defense allows opponents to shoot 43.9% from the field (459 of 1,046) and collects 33.8 rebounds per game, ranked 112th for assists allowed with 229 given up this season.

In their last outing, the New Mexico Lobos suffered a loss against San Diego State, with a final score of 83-79. In terms of rebounding, New Mexico allowed San Diego State to collect 36 rebounds (8 offensive). The Lobos hit 41.2% of their three-point shots (7 of 17) and converted 22 of 30 free throw attempts for a shooting percentage of 73.3%. On the other side, San Diego State scored 49.1% of their field goal attempts, finishing 27 of 55. New Mexico shot 42.6% overall with 26 of 61 from the floor and made 12 of 30 attempts from three-point range (40.0%). They also hit 15 of 21 free throws for a success rate of 71.4%. In this matchup, San Diego State was called for 18 fouls, giving New Mexico 21 free throw attempts. They committed 16 turnovers and managed 10 steals overall, resulting in 26 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 rebounds.

Tomislav Buljan stood out for the Lobos, scoring 20 points in 29 minutes while contributing 2 assists and securing 14 rebounds, shooting 53.3% from the field (8 of 15).

New Mexico boasts a record of 14-4 this season. Offensively, the Lobos shoot 45.7% from the field, ranking them 167th nationally. They have racked up 1,452 points this season (80.7 per game) and average 37.0 rebounds per matchup. New Mexico also averages 14.6 assists per game (161st in D-1) and commits 11.3 turnovers per contest. They average 17.5 personal fouls each game and have a free-throw shooting percentage of 75.6%.

On the defensive front, New Mexico ranks 39th in points allowed per game with 67.2. They force 14.5 turnovers per game and limit teams to a 40.1% shooting percentage from the field (36th in college basketball). The Lobos have allowed opponents a 28.7% success rate on three-point shots (145 of 505) and they yield 71.6% from the charity stripe. Additionally, they concede 11.7 assists and 34.3 rebounds per game, ranking 57th and 170th nationally, respectively.

Which team will emerge victorious against the spread in tonight’s NCAA contest?

Prediction: Bet on Fresno State

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Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs
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